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College Football Week 13 — 2025

By · Last updated

Week 13 of the 2025 season features 64 FBS games. Hawai'i leads all road trips at 2,756 miles. James Madison posts the week's top HFA at 3.3 points. Analysts focused on travel and venue edges will find the ranked sections below most actionable; casual viewers can use the at-a-glance table to scan results.

Biggest Travel Disadvantages This Week

Away teams ranked by road-trip distance. Body-clock offset and rest-day differential compound the edge for home sides.

#1 Hawai'i
2,756 miles · -2h body-clock shift · away +8d rest
Hawai'i travels 2,756 miles to face UNLV, arriving with a -2h body-clock shift.
#2 Washington State
2,013 miles · -3h body-clock shift · home +1d rest
Washington State travels 2,013 miles to face James Madison, arriving with a -3h body-clock shift.
#3 BYU
1,443 miles · -2h body-clock shift · equal rest
BYU travels 1,443 miles to face Cincinnati, arriving with a -2h body-clock shift.
#4 East Carolina
1,301 miles · +1h body-clock shift · equal rest
East Carolina travels 1,301 miles to face UTSA, arriving with a +1h body-clock shift.
#5 Tulsa
1,237 miles · -1h body-clock shift · home +8d rest
Tulsa travels 1,237 miles to face Army, arriving with a -1h body-clock shift.

Highest Weather-Risk Games This Week

Games ranked by combined wind, temperature, and precipitation impact. Thresholds: wind ≥ 20 mph, temp ≤ 35°F or ≥ 90°F, precip > 0.1 in.

#1 Central Michigan @ Kent State
4°F, 6 mph wind, Freezing fog
Central Michigan @ Kent State: 4°F, 6 mph wind, Freezing fog — conditions historically favour the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.
#2 Massachusetts @ Ohio
5°F, 4 mph wind, Freezing fog
Massachusetts @ Ohio: 5°F, 4 mph wind, Freezing fog — conditions historically favour the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.
#3 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo
6°F, 6 mph wind, Freezing fog
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo: 6°F, 6 mph wind, Freezing fog — conditions historically favour the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.

Strongest Home-Field Advantages This Week

Home teams ranked by stadium HFA rating. Higher values reflect stronger historical home performance at that venue. Venues above 4,000 ft are flagged for altitude disadvantage.

#1 James Madison
HFA 3.3 pts · Bridgeforth Stadium · 24,877 capacity
James Madison carries a 3.3-point HFA edge at Bridgeforth Stadium (24,877 capacity) against Washington State.
#2 SMU
HFA 3.2 pts · Gerald J. Ford Stadium · 32,000 capacity
SMU carries a 3.2-point HFA edge at Gerald J. Ford Stadium (32,000 capacity) against Louisville.
#3 South Alabama
HFA 3.1 pts · Hancock Whitney Stadium · 25,450 capacity
South Alabama carries a 3.1-point HFA edge at Hancock Whitney Stadium (25,450 capacity) against Southern Miss.

Biggest Power-Rating Gaps This Week

Games ranked by the difference between Blue Chip model ratings and the market spread. Larger gaps are the strongest signals.

#1 Eastern Illinois @ Alabama
Model gap: 61.0 pts · Line: Alabama -14 · Home power: 28.2 · Away: -32.8
The model shows Alabama by 61.0 model points; market line is Alabama -14. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.
#2 Samford @ Texas A&M
Model gap: 54.2 pts · Line: Texas A&M -125 · Home power: 24.6 · Away: -29.6
The model shows Texas A&M by 54.2 model points; market line is Texas A&M -125. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.
#3 Charlotte @ Georgia
Model gap: 43.9 pts · Line: Georgia -44.5 · Home power: 24.2 · Away: -19.7
The model shows Georgia by 43.9 model points; market line is Georgia -44.5. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.

Biggest Model vs. Market Divergences This Week

Games where Blue Chip's power-rating implied win probability diverges most from the Kalshi prediction market. A large gap suggests the market may be mispricing the matchup — directional signal only, not a betting recommendation.

#1 Charlotte @ Georgia
Model: 99% home · Market: 50% home · Gap: 49pp · Line: Georgia -44.5
Model gives Georgia a 99% win probability; Kalshi market has them at 50%. A 49-point gap — model favours Georgia relative to the market. Directional signal only.
#2 Eastern Illinois @ Alabama
Model: 99% home · Market: 50% home · Gap: 49pp · Line: Alabama -14
Model gives Alabama a 99% win probability; Kalshi market has them at 50%. A 49-point gap — model favours Alabama relative to the market. Directional signal only.
#3 Furman @ Clemson
Model: 99% home · Market: 50% home · Gap: 49pp · Line: Clemson -9
Model gives Clemson a 99% win probability; Kalshi market has them at 50%. A 49-point gap — model favours Clemson relative to the market. Directional signal only.

All Week 13 Games

Matchup Line O/U Prediction/Outcome
Akron 19 @ 16 Bowling Green Bowling Green -4.5 47.5 Upset, Akron Covered, Under
Massachusetts 14 @ 42 Ohio Ohio -32.5 51.5 Chalk, Massachusetts Covered, Over
Western Michigan 35 @ 19 Northern Illinois Western Michigan -6.5 38.5 Chalk, Western Michigan Covered, Over
Central Michigan 28 @ 16 Kent State Central Michigan -8.5 47.5 Chalk, Central Michigan Covered, Under
Miami (OH) 37 @ 20 Buffalo Buffalo -2.5 38.5 Upset, Miami (OH) Covered, Over
Louisiana 34 @ 30 Arkansas State Arkansas State -2.5 53.5 Upset, Louisiana Covered, Over
Florida State 11 @ 21 NC State Florida State -4.5 51.5 Upset, NC State Covered, Under
Hawai'i 10 @ 38 UNLV N/A N/A –
Tulsa 26 @ 25 Army Army -10.5 45.5 Upset, Tulsa Covered, Over
Minnesota 35 vs 38 Northwestern Northwestern -5.5 41.5 Chalk, Minnesota Covered, Over
Samford 0 @ 48 Texas A&M Texas A&M -125 N/A Chalk, Samford Covered
Delaware 14 @ 52 Wake Forest Wake Forest -18.5 53.5 Chalk, Wake Forest Covered, Over
Louisville 6 @ 38 SMU SMU -3.5 53.5 Chalk, SMU Covered, Under
Kansas 14 @ 38 Iowa State Iowa State -3.5 54.5 Chalk, Iowa State Covered, Under
Rutgers 9 @ 42 Ohio State Ohio State -33.5 50.5 Chalk, Rutgers Covered, Over
Missouri 6 @ 17 Oklahoma Oklahoma -9.5 42.5 Chalk, Oklahoma Covered, Under
Miami 34 @ 17 Virginia Tech Miami -10.5 49.5 Chalk, Miami Covered, Over
Charlotte 3 @ 35 Georgia Georgia -44.5 55.5 Chalk, Charlotte Covered, Under
Washington State 20 @ 24 James Madison Washington State -125 N/A Upset, James Madison Covered
Baylor 17 @ 41 Arizona Arizona -6.5 62.5 Chalk, Arizona Covered, Under
Old Dominion 45 @ 10 Georgia Southern Old Dominion -9.5 53.5 Chalk, Old Dominion Covered, Over
Missouri State 34 vs 41 Kennesaw State Kennesaw State -8.5 58.5 Chalk, Missouri State Covered, Over
Ball State 9 @ 38 Toledo Toledo -26.5 47.5 Chalk, Toledo Covered, Under
Eastern Illinois 0 @ 56 Alabama Alabama -14 N/A Chalk, Alabama Covered
Nevada 13 vs 7 Wyoming Wyoming -6.5 41.5 Upset, Nevada Covered, Under
Mercer 17 @ 62 Auburn Auburn -28 N/A Chalk, Auburn Covered
Marshall 24 @ 26 App State Marshall -4.5 54.5 Upset, App State Covered, Under
New Mexico State 34 @ 31 UTEP UTEP -3.5 45.5 Upset, New Mexico State Covered, Over
Liberty 28 @ 34 Louisiana Tech Liberty -1.5 45.5 Upset, Louisiana Tech Covered, Over
Sam Houston 17 @ 31 Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee -6.5 53.5 Chalk, Middle Tennessee Covered, Under
South Florida 48 @ 18 UAB South Florida -21.5 60.5 Chalk, South Florida Covered, Over
UConn 48 @ 45 Florida Atlantic UConn -7.5 55.5 Chalk, Florida Atlantic Covered, Over
Duke 32 @ 25 North Carolina North Carolina -6.5 51.5 Upset, Duke Covered, Over
Jacksonville State 21 @ 27 Florida International Florida International -1.5 55.5 Chalk, Florida International Covered, Under
Arkansas 37 @ 52 Texas Texas -10.5 50.5 Chalk, Texas Covered, Over
USC 27 @ 42 Oregon Oregon -9.5 60.5 Chalk, Oregon Covered, Over
Kentucky 17 @ 45 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt -10.5 52.5 Chalk, Vanderbilt Covered, Over
Syracuse 7 @ 70 Notre Dame Notre Dame -35.5 51.5 Chalk, Notre Dame Covered, Over
Southern Miss 35 @ 42 South Alabama South Alabama -2.5 55.5 Chalk, South Alabama Covered, Over
East Carolina 24 @ 58 UTSA UTSA -3.5 51.5 Chalk, UTSA Covered, Over
Michigan State 17 @ 20 Iowa Iowa -16.5 42.5 Chalk, Michigan State Covered, Under
Tulane 37 @ 13 Temple Tulane -8.5 54.5 Chalk, Tulane Covered, Under
TCU 17 @ 14 Houston Houston -2.5 54.5 Upset, TCU Covered, Under
Kansas State 47 @ 51 Utah Utah -17.5 52.5 Chalk, Kansas State Covered, Over
Georgia State 19 @ 31 Troy Troy -11.5 51.5 Chalk, Troy Covered, Under
Oklahoma State 14 @ 17 UCF UCF -13.5 47.5 Chalk, Oklahoma State Covered, Under
Michigan 45 @ 20 Maryland Michigan -13.5 45.5 Chalk, Michigan Covered, Over
Coastal Carolina 7 vs 51 South Carolina South Carolina -23.5 53.5 Chalk, South Carolina Covered, Over
Furman 10 @ 45 Clemson Clemson -9 N/A Chalk, Clemson Covered
UL Monroe 14 @ 31 Texas State Texas State -18.5 55.5 Chalk, UL Monroe Covered, Under
Nebraska 10 @ 37 Penn State Penn State -9.5 44.5 Chalk, Penn State Covered, Over
New Mexico 20 @ 3 Air Force New Mexico -2.5 58.5 Chalk, New Mexico Covered, Under
Colorado State 21 @ 49 Boise State Boise State -16.5 45.5 Chalk, Boise State Covered, Over
Pittsburgh 42 @ 28 Georgia Tech Georgia Tech -2.5 51.5 Upset, Pittsburgh Covered, Over
Illinois 10 @ 27 Wisconsin Illinois -9.5 42.5 Upset, Wisconsin Covered, Under
California 10 @ 31 Stanford California -2.5 49.5 Upset, Stanford Covered, Under
Tennessee 31 @ 11 Florida Tennessee -3.5 57.5 Chalk, Tennessee Covered, Under
North Texas 56 @ 24 Rice North Texas -17.5 55.5 Chalk, North Texas Covered, Over
Western Kentucky 10 @ 13 LSU LSU -22.5 51.5 Chalk, Western Kentucky Covered, Under
Arizona State 42 @ 17 Colorado Arizona State -8.5 48.5 Chalk, Arizona State Covered, Over
BYU 26 @ 14 Cincinnati BYU -2.5 53.5 Chalk, BYU Covered, Under
San José State 3 vs 25 San Diego State N/A N/A –
Utah State 28 @ 17 Fresno State Fresno State -2.5 51.5 Upset, Utah State Covered, Under
Washington 48 @ 14 UCLA Washington -11.5 52.5 Chalk, Washington Covered, Over

How We Ranked Week 13's Games

Each ranked section draws from the same enriched data file that powers our per-game pages. Travel distances are calculated as straight-line (great-circle) distances from each team's home market to the game stadium, converted from kilometres to miles. Body-clock offset is the signed time-zone difference the away team crosses. Rest-day differential is the difference in days since each team last played. Weather scoring compounds wind, temperature, and precipitation against fixed thresholds — dome stadiums are excluded as weather is irrelevant indoors — see our Weather tool for the full methodology.

HFA ratings come from our Home Field Advantage tool, which estimates the per-venue point value based on historical margin-of-victory data. Stadiums above 4,000 ft are flagged; altitude creates a documented visiting-team disadvantage. Power ratings are from the Blue Chip power-rating model. The gap between the model's implied spread and the market line is a directional signal; it is not a betting recommendation.

The model vs. market divergence section compares Blue Chip's power-rating implied win probability (derived via a logistic approximation from the rating gap) against the Kalshi prediction market probability. ATS records are sourced from the season log updated weekly by the enrichment pipeline; minimum 3 games required before a team is flagged.

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather Data

Home Field Advantage

Frequently Asked Questions

How many games are in college football Week 13 2025?

Week 13 of the 2025 FBS season features 64 games tracked by Blue Chip Analytics. The full schedule, lines, and totals are listed in the game table on this page.

How does Blue Chip Analytics rank travel disadvantages?

Away teams are ranked by the straight-line distance from their home market to the game stadium, converted to miles. Body-clock offset (time-zone hours crossed) is listed alongside distance as a compound fatigue indicator.

What weather conditions qualify as high-risk for this week?

Games are flagged when forecast conditions meet at least one of: wind speed ≥ 20 mph, temperature ≤ 35°F or ≥ 90°F, or precipitation > 0.1 inches. Scores compound across all factors — a cold and windy game ranks higher than a mildly breezy one.

What is a Home Field Advantage (HFA) rating?

Blue Chip's HFA rating estimates the point value of playing at home at a specific stadium, based on historical margin-of-victory data. A rating of 3.0 means the home team historically performs about 3 points better at that venue than their road performance would predict.

What does the power-rating gap section show?

The power-rating gap ranks games by the difference between Blue Chip's internal model rating for each team and the published market spread. A large gap between model edge and market line is a directional signal — it does not constitute a betting recommendation.

How is the model vs. market divergence calculated?

Blue Chip's power-rating gap is converted to an implied win probability using a logistic approximation (each rating point ≈ 2.8% shift from 50%). This is compared against the Kalshi prediction market win probability. Games with a divergence of 5 percentage points or more are surfaced. Both the model and market can be wrong — treat this as a directional flag, not a pick.

What qualifies as a notable ATS record?

Teams are flagged when they have played at least 3 games this season and their ATS cover rate is ≥65% (hot) or ≤30% (cold). Records are updated each week by the enrichment pipeline and reflect cumulative season-to-date results only — sample sizes are small early in the season.

Week 13 of the 2025 season features 64 FBS games; the ranked sections above surface the travel, weather, HFA, power-gap, model-vs-market, and ATS-record edges most relevant to analysts and informed fans.