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Week 13 • November 23, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
Illinois @ Wisconsin
7-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 16.0
10 FINAL 27
3-7
Big Ten
Power Rank: 4.9
Wisconsin covered by 26.5 | Game went Under by 5.5

By · Last updated

Wisconsin defeated Illinois 27–10 to secure a comfortable win. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Illinois 11.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

Illinois @ Wisconsin Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CST
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity: 76,057
Elevation: 909 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Illinois -9.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score ILL 26.0 - 16.5 WIS
Power Rank Implied Line Illinois +11.1
Prediction Markets Illinois 76% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

21.5°F

Wind Chill: 8.6°F
Wind: 14.5 mph SW
Gusts: 21.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 62%

Travel & Rest

Illinois (Away)

This Week: 213.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5269.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 8

Wisconsin (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 615.4 miles
Season Total: 6398.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Illinois -9.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Illinois 16.0
Wisconsin 4.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 214 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity 76,057
Elevation 909 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 21.5°F
Wind Speed 14.5 mph
Your Line Wisconsin -11.1
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Illinois vs Wisconsin?

Illinois: Key Factors

Wisconsin: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Illinois travels 214 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Wisconsin won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Wisconsin covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Camp Randall Stadium?

At 21.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Illinois and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Illinois (16.0) over Wisconsin (4.9) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wisconsin faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wisconsin brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Illinois and Wisconsin?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Wisconsin won and Wisconsin covered the spread.