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Week 13 •
Camp Randall Stadium

Illinois10 @FINAL 27Wisconsin

7-3 Big Ten Power rating: 16.0
3-7 Big Ten Power rating: 4.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ILL -8.5
PM Implied
ILL -7.2
Blue Chip model
ILL -8.9
Edge
-0.4ILL
See details
◂ favors ILLfavors WIS ▸Market: ILL -8.5
‹ 11.1 ILL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WIS
no impact
no impact
no impact
WIS
1 ILL1 WIS2 ILL2 WISModel: ILL -8.9

Betting information

Spread
ILL -8.5
Total
42.5
Odds implied score
ILL 25.5 – 17.0 WIS
Prediction markets
ILL 76% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Wisconsin defeated Illinois 27–10 to secure a comfortable win. Wisconsin covered by 25.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Illinois -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Illinois -8.9. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Illinois 11.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Illinois vs Wisconsin?

At kickoff, conditions at Camp Randall Stadium were Cloudy, 34°F, wind chill 26°F with winds of 11 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. At 34°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Illinois travels 214 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Wisconsin won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Wisconsin covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Illinois and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Illinois (16.0) over Wisconsin (4.9) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wisconsin faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wisconsin brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Illinois and Wisconsin?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Wisconsin won and Wisconsin covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

34°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind11 mph WNW
Gusts22 mph
Wind chill26°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Illinois at Wisconsin: aerial view of Camp Randall Stadium, wind from the WNW at 11.4 mph, gusting to 21.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CST
Venue
Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity
76,057
Elevation
909 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

IllinoisAway WisconsinHome
This week214 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game615 miles
Season total5,269 miles5,937 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest8 days8 days

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