14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
Duke @ North Carolina
5-5
ACC
Power Rank: 11.8
32 FINAL 25
4-6
ACC
Power Rank: -0.6
Duke covered by 13.5 | Game went Over by 5.5

By · Last updated

Duke defeated North Carolina 32–25 in a one-score game.

Duke @ North Carolina Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EST
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Capacity: 50,500
Elevation: 446 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread North Carolina -6.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Expected Score DUKE 22.5 - 29.0 UNC
Power Rank Implied Line Duke +12.4
Prediction Markets Duke 70% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Freezing fog

Freezing fog

27.2°F

Wind Chill: 21.4°F
Wind: 4.9 mph SSW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Duke (Away)

This Week: 8.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 9088.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

North Carolina (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 138.7 miles
Season Total: 7204.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line North Carolina -6.5
Total Points 51.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Duke 11.8
North Carolina -0.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 9 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Kenan Stadium
Capacity 50,500
Elevation 446 ft
Weather: Freezing fog
Temperature 27.2°F
Wind Speed 4.9 mph
Your Line North Carolina -12.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Duke vs North Carolina?

Duke: Key Factors

North Carolina: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Duke travels 9 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Duke won by 7 in a one-score game.

Duke covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Kenan Stadium?

At 27.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Duke and North Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Duke (11.8) over North Carolina (-0.6) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, North Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. North Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Duke and North Carolina?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Duke won and Duke covered the spread.