Week 13 •
Fifth Third Stadium

Missouri State34 @FINAL 41Kennesaw State , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

7-3 CUSA Power rating: -12.9
7-3 CUSA Power rating: -1.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
KENN -6.5
PM Implied
KENN -4.8
Blue Chip model
KENN -13.6
Edge
+7.1KENN
See details
◂ favors MOSTfavors KENN ▸Market: KENN -6.5
11.1 › KENN
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KENN
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5 MOST5 KENNModel: KENN -13.6

Betting information

Spread
KENN -6.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
MOST 24.0 – 30.5 KENN
Prediction markets
KENN 69% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kennesaw State defeated Missouri State 41–34 in a one-score game. Kennesaw State covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 20.5. The market closed at Kennesaw State -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Kennesaw State -13.6 - a gap of 7.1 points toward Kennesaw State, of which 6.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Missouri State vs Kennesaw State?

At kickoff, conditions at Fifth Third Stadium were Clear, 68°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Missouri State travels 537 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Kennesaw State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Kennesaw State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 20.5 points.

How do Missouri State and Kennesaw State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kennesaw State (-1.8) over Missouri State (-12.9) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kennesaw State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Kennesaw State won and Kennesaw State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind7 mph WNW
Gusts12 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Missouri State at Kennesaw State: aerial view of Fifth Third Stadium, wind from the WNW at 6.7 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM EST
Venue
Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity
10,200
Elevation
1,096 ft
Surface
Hybrid

Travel and rest

Measure Missouri StateAway Kennesaw StateHome
This week537 miles3 miles
Last weekHome game135 miles
Season total8,595 miles5,267 miles
Body clock13:0014:00
Rest7 days6 days