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Week 13 •
Pitbull Stadium

Jacksonville State21 @FINAL 27Florida International

7-3 CUSA Power rating: -8.1
5-5 CUSA Power rating: -13.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FIU -2.5
PM Implied
FIU -0.5
Blue Chip model
JXST -3.2
Edge
-5.7JXST
See details
◂ favors JXSTfavors FIU ▸Market: FIU -2.5
JXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FIU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 JXST2 FIU4 JXST4 FIU6 JXST6 FIUModel: JXST -3.2

Betting information

Spread
FIU -2.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
JXST 26.5 – 29.0 FIU
Prediction markets
FIU 53% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida International defeated Jacksonville State 27–21 in a closely contested finish. Florida International covered by 3.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at Florida International -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Jacksonville State -3.2 - a gap of 5.7 points toward Jacksonville State, of which 4.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Jacksonville State 5.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Jacksonville State vs Florida International?

At kickoff, conditions at Pitbull Stadium were Cloudy, 77°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 643 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Jacksonville State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Florida International won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Florida International covered the spread.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and Florida International compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-8.1) over Florida International (-13.5) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida International faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida International brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Jacksonville State and Florida International?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida International won and Florida International covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

77°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind8 mph E
Gusts11 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Jacksonville State at Florida International: aerial view of Pitbull Stadium, wind from the E at 7.8 mph, gusting to 11.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EST
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Capacity
20,000
Elevation
30 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Jacksonville StateAway Florida InternationalHome
This week643 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,557 miles9,930 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest6 days7 days

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