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Week 13 •
FirstBank Stadium

Kentucky17 @FINAL 45Vanderbilt

5-5 SEC Power rating: 8.2
8-2 SEC Power rating: 17.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
VAN -7.0
PM Implied
VAN -7.0
Blue Chip model
VAN -11.6
Edge
+4.6VAN
See details
◂ favors UKfavors VAN ▸Market: VAN -7.0
9.3 › VAN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
VAN
VAN
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 UK2 VAN4 UK4 VANModel: VAN -11.6

Betting information

Spread
VAN -7.0
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
UK 23.3 – 30.3 VAN
Prediction markets
VAN 76% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Vanderbilt defeated Kentucky 45–17 in a dominant performance. Vanderbilt covered by 21.0; Game went Over by 8.5. The market closed at Vanderbilt -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Vanderbilt -11.6 - a gap of 4.6 points toward Vanderbilt, of which 3.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Kentucky vs Vanderbilt?

At kickoff, conditions at FirstBank Stadium were Overcast, 56°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kentucky travels 182 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Kentucky arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Vanderbilt won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Vanderbilt covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

How do Kentucky and Vanderbilt compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Vanderbilt (17.5) over Kentucky (8.2) by 9.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Vanderbilt brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Kentucky and Vanderbilt?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Vanderbilt won and Vanderbilt covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

56°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity87%
Wind7 mph N
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Kentucky at Vanderbilt: aerial view of FirstBank Stadium, wind from the N at 7.2 mph, gusting to 9.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
FirstBank Stadium
Capacity
40,350
Elevation
551 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

KentuckyAway VanderbiltHome
This week182 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,194 miles3,359 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days14 days

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