Week 13 • November 23, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
7-3
SEC
Power Rank: 20.2
31 FINAL 11
3-7
SEC
Power Rank: 14.7
Tennessee covered by 16.5 | Game went Under by 15.5

Tennessee defeated Florida 31–11 to secure a comfortable win.

Tennessee @ Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Capacity: 88,548
Elevation: 98 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Tennessee -3.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score TENN 30.5 - 27.0 FLA
Power Rank Implied Line Tennessee +5.5
Prediction Markets Tennessee 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

29.9°F

Wind Chill: 24.5°F
Wind: 4.9 mph WNW
Gusts: 8.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 42%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 444.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2257.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1064.2 miles
Season Total: 5684.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Tennessee -3.5
Total Points 57.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Tennessee 20.2
Florida 14.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 444 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Capacity 88,548
Elevation 98 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 29.9°F
Wind Speed 4.9 mph
Your Line Florida -5.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Tennessee vs Florida?

Tennessee: Key Factors

Florida: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Tennessee travels 444 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Tennessee won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Tennessee covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium?

At 29.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Tennessee and Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tennessee (20.2) over Florida (14.7) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Tennessee won and Tennessee covered the spread.