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Week 13 •
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Tennessee31 @FINAL 11Florida

7-3 SEC Power rating: 20.2
3-7 SEC Power rating: 14.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TENN -3.5
PM Implied
TENN -2.9
Blue Chip model
TENN -1.9
Edge
+1.6FLA
See details
◂ favors TENNfavors FLA ▸Market: TENN -3.5
‹ 5.5 TENN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FLA
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 TENN2 FLA4 TENN4 FLAModel: TENN -1.9

Betting information

Spread
TENN -3.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
TENN 30.5 – 27.0 FLA
Prediction markets
TENN 61% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Tennessee defeated Florida 31–11 to secure a comfortable win. Tennessee covered by 16.5; Game went Under by 15.5. The market closed at Tennessee -3.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Tennessee -1.9, an edge of 1.6 points toward Florida.

What were the weather conditions for Tennessee vs Florida?

At kickoff, conditions at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium were Mist, 67°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Tennessee travels 444 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Tennessee won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Tennessee covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do Tennessee and Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Tennessee (20.2) over Florida (14.7) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tennessee and Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Tennessee won and Tennessee covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Mist

67°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity97%
Wind5 mph WSW
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Tennessee at Florida: aerial view of Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, wind from the WSW at 4.7 mph, gusting to 8.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Capacity
88,548
Elevation
98 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

TennesseeAway FloridaHome
This week444 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,064 miles
Season total2,257 miles5,685 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest8 days7 days

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