Week 13 •
Rice-Eccles Stadium

Kansas State47 @FINAL 51Utah , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

5-5 Big 12 Power rating: 12.2
8-2 Big 12 Power rating: 25.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTAH -17.5
PM Implied
UTAH -12.9
Blue Chip model
UTAH -16.3
Edge
-1.2KSU
See details
◂ favors KSUfavors UTAH ▸Market: UTAH -17.5
12.8 › UTAH
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UTAH
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UTAH
UTAH
KSU
1 KSU1 UTAH2 KSU2 UTAH3 KSU3 UTAHModel: UTAH -16.3

Betting information

Spread
UTAH -17.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
KSU 17.5 – 35.0 UTAH
Prediction markets
UTAH 88% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Utah defeated Kansas State 51–47 in a closely contested finish. Kansas State covered by 13.5; Game went Over by 45.5. The market closed at Utah -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Utah -16.3, an edge of 1.2 points toward Kansas State.

What are the key factors for Kansas State vs Utah?

Kansas State

Record-Setting Rushing Performance

Kansas State set a school record with 472 rushing yards, led by Joe Jackson's 293 yards (breaking Darren Sproles' record). This dominant ground game controlled the first half and built a 12-point lead, showcasing the team's physical identity.

Critical Special Teams and Defensive Lapses

The Wildcats allowed a 2-point conversion return for 2 points by Utah after a tipped pass, turning a 47-35 lead into 47-37. This four-point swing proved decisive, as Utah later scored a touchdown and extra point to tie and then win.

Late-Game Collapse Under Pressure

Despite leading by 12 with under 8 minutes left, Kansas State's defense allowed 16 unanswered points, including a 59-yard run on 4th down that set up the go-ahead score. The team failed to make key stops when needed most.

Quarterback Avery Johnson's Struggles

Johnson threw a critical interception with 49 seconds left that sealed the loss. His passing game was inconsistent, and the offense relied heavily on the run, which may be a concern against stronger defenses.

Emotional and Physical Toll

The loss drops Kansas State to 5-6, ending their Big 12 title hopes. Coach Chris Klieman expressed frustration and a need for respect, indicating potential morale issues. The team must regroup quickly for a home game against Colorado.

What were the weather conditions for Kansas State vs Utah?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice-Eccles Stadium were Mist, 37°F, wind chill 36°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kansas State travels 816 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Kansas State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Utah won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Kansas State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 45.5 points.

How do Kansas State and Utah compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah (25.0) over Kansas State (12.2) by 12.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Utah won and Kansas State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Mist

37°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind2 mph NE
Gusts4 mph
Wind chill36°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Kansas State at Utah: aerial view of Rice-Eccles Stadium, wind from the NE at 1.8 mph, gusting to 3.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM MST
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Capacity
51,444
Elevation
4,656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Kansas StateAway UtahHome
This week816 miles0 miles
Last week428 miles2,075 miles
Season total12,599 miles7,311 miles
Body clock15:0014:00
Rest7 days6 days