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Week 13 •
Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Akron19 @FINAL 16Bowling Green

4-7 MAC Power rating: -15.7
3-7 MAC Power rating: -6.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BGSU -2.5
PM Implied
BGSU -1.8
Blue Chip model
BGSU -10.3
Edge
+7.8BGSU
See details
◂ favors AKRfavors BGSU ▸Market: BGSU -2.5
9.4 › BGSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BGSU
BGSU
no impact
no impact
AKR
5 AKR5 BGSUModel: BGSU -10.3

Betting information

Spread
BGSU -2.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
AKR 22.5 – 25.0 BGSU
Prediction markets
BGSU 58% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Akron defeated Bowling Green 19–16 in a nail-biter. Akron covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 12.5. The market closed at Bowling Green -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Bowling Green -10.3 - a gap of 7.8 points toward Bowling Green, of which 6.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Bowling Green 9.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for Akron vs Bowling Green?

Bowling Green

Offensive Struggles Continue

Bowling Green managed only 272 total yards, below their season average of 300.3, and both quarterbacks combined for a 9-of-26 passing performance with one touchdown and two interceptions, highlighting persistent offensive inefficiency.

Defensive Resilience but Late Collapse

The Falcons' defense forced a stop with 2:12 remaining and set up a potential game-winning drive, but a critical interception by Hunter Najm with a minute left squandered the opportunity, underscoring a pattern of late-game defensive lapses.

Special Teams and Field Position Battle

Bowling Green's special teams contributed a 15-yard punt return to set up good field position, but the offense failed to capitalize, while Akron's Matthew Schramm made four field goals, including a career-long 48-yarder, to control the scoring.

Quarterback Inconsistency

Hunter Najm threw two interceptions, including a game-ending pick, and the passing game was ineffective overall, with both quarterbacks completing only 34.6% of passes, indicating a need for improved quarterback play in future games.

Season-Ending Disappointment

The loss sealed a 3-8 record and a second-to-last-place MAC finish in Eddie George's debut season, marking a disappointing end to the year and raising questions about offensive and quarterback development moving forward.

What were the weather conditions for Akron vs Bowling Green?

At kickoff, conditions at Doyt L. Perry Stadium were Fog, 37°F, wind chill 33°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Akron travels 112 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Akron won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Akron covered the spread.

The total went Under by 12.5 points.

How do Akron and Bowling Green compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Bowling Green (-6.3) over Akron (-15.7) by 9.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Bowling Green brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Akron and Bowling Green?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Akron won and Akron covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 19, 2025 Game-time

Fog

37°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity97%
Wind5 mph ENE
Gusts7 mph
Wind chill33°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Akron at Bowling Green: aerial view of Doyt L. Perry Stadium, wind from the ENE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Capacity
33,527
Elevation
682 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

AkronAway Bowling GreenHome
This week112 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total3,941 miles1,507 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest7 days11 days

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