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Week 13 •
Tiger Stadium (LA)

Western Kentucky10 @FINAL 13LSU

8-2 CUSA Power rating: -10.3
6-4 SEC Power rating: 16.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LSU -24.5
PM Implied
LSU -16.9
Blue Chip model
LSU -29.8
Edge
+5.3LSU
See details
◂ favors WKUfavors LSU ▸Market: LSU -24.5
26.8 › LSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
LSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 WKU2 LSU4 WKU4 LSU6 WKU6 LSUModel: LSU -29.8

Betting information

Spread
LSU -24.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
WKU 14.0 – 38.5 LSU
Prediction markets
LSU 94% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

LSU defeated Western Kentucky 13–10 in a nail-biter. Western Kentucky covered by 21.5; Game went Under by 29.5. The market closed at LSU -24.5 and the Blue Chip model made it LSU -29.8 - a gap of 5.3 points toward LSU, of which 4.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Western Kentucky vs LSU?

Western Kentucky

Offensive Struggles Against Power Conference Opponent

Western Kentucky managed only 152 total yards (2.3 yards per play) and 10 points, with QB Rodney Tisdale Jr. completing 20 of 39 passes for 128 yards. The offense was dominated by LSU's defense, continuing a trend of struggles against power conference teams.

Late Defensive Touchdown Gave Hope

Dylann Flowers returned a fumble 71 yards for a touchdown with 1:05 left, cutting the deficit to 13-10. This defensive play showed the team's resilience but was not enough to overcome the offensive inefficiency.

Loss Extends Power Conference Losing Streak

The Hilltoppers lost their ninth consecutive game against power conference opponents, dating back to 2019. This pattern suggests they may struggle against similar competition in future games.

Next Game: At Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky will face Jacksonville State on Saturday. Given their offensive struggles and the opponent's likely lower level of competition, the Hilltoppers will need to improve execution to avoid a letdown.

What were the weather conditions for Western Kentucky vs LSU?

At kickoff, conditions at Tiger Stadium (LA) were Partly cloudy, 68°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Western Kentucky travels 528 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

LSU won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Western Kentucky covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 29.5 points.

How do Western Kentucky and LSU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor LSU (16.5) over Western Kentucky (-10.3) by 26.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. LSU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Western Kentucky and LSU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

LSU won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind6 mph NNW
Gusts12 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Western Kentucky at LSU: aerial view of Tiger Stadium (LA), wind from the NNW at 5.6 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
06:45 PM CST
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity
102,321
Elevation
56 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Western KentuckyAway LSUHome
This week528 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total4,150 miles3,228 miles
Body clock18:4518:45
Rest8 days8 days

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