14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
Louisville @ SMU
7-3
ACC
Power Rank: 15.6
6 FINAL 38
7-3
ACC
Power Rank: 12.7
SMU covered by 28.5 | Game went Under by 9.5

By · Last updated

SMU defeated Louisville 38–6 in a dominant performance.

Louisville @ SMU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity: 32,000
Elevation: 594 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread SMU -3.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score LOU 25.0 - 28.5 SMU
Power Rank Implied Line Louisville +2.9
Prediction Markets SMU 63% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

53.9°F

Wind Chill: 52.1°F
Wind: 6.7 mph SSW
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 37%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Louisville (Away)

This Week: 722.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3818.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

SMU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10387.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line SMU -3.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Louisville 15.6
SMU 12.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 722 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest SMU +7
HFA: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity 32,000
Elevation 594 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 53.9°F
Wind Speed 6.7 mph
Your Line SMU -2.9
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Louisville vs SMU?

Louisville: Key Factors

SMU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Louisville travels 722 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Louisville arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

SMU won by 32 in a dominant performance.

SMU covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do Louisville and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Louisville (15.6) over SMU (12.7) by 2.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, SMU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. SMU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Louisville and SMU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

SMU won and SMU covered the spread.