Week 13
Aggie Stadium

Sacramento State27 @FINAL 31UC Davis , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

7-4 Big Sky Power rating: -18.0
0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -17.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UCD -5.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UCD -2.6
Edge
-2.4SAC
See details
◂ favors SACfavors UCD ▸Market: UCD -5.0
UCD
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UCD
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1 SAC1 UCD2 SAC2 UCDModel: UCD -2.6

Betting information

Spread
UCD -5.0
Total
63.5
Odds implied score
SAC 29.3 – 34.3 UCD

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

UC Davis defeated Sacramento State 31–27 in a closely contested finish. Sacramento State covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at UC Davis -5.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UC Davis -2.6, an edge of 2.4 points toward Sacramento State.

What happened in the game?

Sacramento State travels 18 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UC Davis won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Sacramento State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Sacramento State and UC Davis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Sacramento State (-18.0) and UC Davis (-17.9) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. UC Davis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UC Davis won and Sacramento State covered the spread.

Conditions

No weather data is available for this game yet.

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM PST
Venue
Aggie Stadium
Capacity
10,743
Elevation
52 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sacramento StateAway UC DavisHome
This week18 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total6,249 miles1,259 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest6 days6 days