UC Davis defeated Sacramento State 31–27 in a closely contested finish. Sacramento State covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 5.5.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
Sacramento State travels 18 miles to this game, a short road trip.
UC Davis won by 4 in a closely contested finish.
Sacramento State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 5.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Sacramento State (-18.0) and UC Davis (-17.9) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. UC Davis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
UC Davis won and Sacramento State covered the spread.
