Week 13
Jordan-Hare Stadium

Mercer17 @FINAL 62Auburn , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

0-0 SoCon Power rating: -17.8
4-6 SEC Power rating: 15.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
AUB -26.5
PM Implied
AUB -18.1
Blue Chip model
AUB -34.9
Edge
+8.4AUB
See details
◂ favors MERfavors AUB ▸Market: AUB -26.5
32.8 › AUB
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5 MER5 AUBModel: AUB -34.9

Betting information

Spread
AUB -26.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
MER 12.5 – 39.0 AUB
Prediction markets
AUB 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Auburn defeated Mercer 62–17 in a dominant performance. Auburn covered by 18.5; Game went Over by 27.5. The market closed at Auburn -26.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Auburn -34.9 - a gap of 8.4 points toward Auburn, of which 7.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Mercer vs Auburn?

Auburn

Freshman QB Deuce Knight delivers historic debut performance

Knight accounted for 401 yards and 6 TDs (4 rushing, 2 passing) in his first career start, tying a school record and becoming the first Auburn QB to rush for 4 TDs since Cam Newton in 2010. His explosive performance suggests Auburn has found a dynamic playmaker for the future.

Quarterback depth chart clarified for Iron Bowl

While Knight impressed, starter Ashton Daniels was held out to preserve eligibility and is expected to return for the Alabama game. This strategic decision shows Auburn is prioritizing the Iron Bowl while also developing Knight's experience.

Bowl eligibility on the line against Alabama

At 5-6, Auburn needs to beat #10 Alabama in the Iron Bowl to become bowl eligible. The dominant performance against Mercer provides momentum, but the Tigers will face a massive step up in competition against their ranked rival.

Offensive explosiveness displayed with multiple weapons

Auburn's offense showed big-play capability with Malcolm Simmons catching 5 passes for 149 yards including a 91-yard TD, and Cam Coleman adding 65 yards and a score. This balanced attack could be crucial against Alabama's defense.

Defensive concerns with key injuries mounting

Auburn lost linebacker Demarcus Riddick to season-ending shoulder surgery and defensive end Keldric Faulk during the game. These defensive losses could be problematic against Alabama's potent offense in the high-stakes Iron Bowl.

What were the weather conditions for Mercer vs Auburn?

At kickoff, conditions at Jordan-Hare Stadium were Overcast, 73°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Mercer travels 108 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Mercer arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Auburn won by 45 in a dominant performance.

Auburn covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 27.5 points.

How do Mercer and Auburn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Auburn (15.0) over Mercer (-17.8) by 32.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Auburn brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Auburn won and Auburn covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind5 mph NW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Mercer at Auburn: aerial view of Jordan-Hare Stadium, wind from the NW at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM CST
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Capacity
88,043
Elevation
686 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure MercerAway AuburnHome
This week108 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total108 miles5,711 miles
Body clock14:0013:00
Rest7 days14 days