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Week 13 • November 23, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
New Mexico @ Air Force
7-3
MW
Power Rank: -0.6
20 FINAL 3
3-7
MW
Power Rank: -5.5
New Mexico covered by 14.5 | Game went Under by 35.5

By · Last updated

New Mexico defeated Air Force 20–3 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico @ Air Force Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:00 PM MST
Stadium: Falcon Stadium
Capacity: 39,441
Elevation: 6657 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread New Mexico -2.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score UNM 30.5 - 28.0 AF
Power Rank Implied Line New Mexico +4.9
Prediction Markets New Mexico 60% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

33.3°F

Wind Chill: 28.4°F
Wind: 5.1 mph WSW
Gusts: 11.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 45%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico (Away)

This Week: 288.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8527.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 8

Air Force (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3402.1 miles
Season Total: 10556.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line New Mexico -2.5
Total Points 58.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico -0.6
Air Force -5.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 288 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Falcon Stadium
Capacity 39,441
Elevation 6657 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 33.3°F
Wind Speed 5.1 mph
Your Line Air Force -4.9
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for New Mexico vs Air Force?

New Mexico: Key Factors

Air Force: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico travels 288 miles to this game, a short road trip.

New Mexico won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 35.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Falcon Stadium?

At 33.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do New Mexico and Air Force compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour New Mexico (-0.6) over Air Force (-5.5) by 4.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Air Force faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Air Force brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico and Air Force?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.