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College Football Week 15 — 2025

By · Last updated

Week 15 of the 2025 season features 9 FBS games. BYU leads all road trips at 960 miles. James Madison posts the week's top HFA at 3.3 points. Analysts focused on travel and venue edges will find the ranked sections below most actionable; casual viewers can use the at-a-glance table to scan results.

Biggest Travel Disadvantages This Week

Away teams ranked by road-trip distance. Body-clock offset and rest-day differential compound the edge for home sides.

#1 BYU
960 miles · -1h body-clock shift · equal rest
BYU travels 960 miles to face Texas Tech, arriving with a -1h body-clock shift.
#2 Troy
608 miles · -1h body-clock shift · equal rest
Troy travels 608 miles to face James Madison, arriving with a -1h body-clock shift.
#3 UNLV
521 miles · -1h body-clock shift · home +2d rest
UNLV travels 521 miles to face Boise State, arriving with a -1h body-clock shift.
#4 North Texas
472 miles · no body-clock data · equal rest
North Texas travels 472 miles to face Tulane (no body-clock data).
#5 Miami (OH)
214 miles · no body-clock data · home +4d rest
Miami (OH) travels 214 miles to face Western Michigan (no body-clock data).

Highest Weather-Risk Games This Week

Games ranked by combined wind, temperature, and precipitation impact. Thresholds: wind ≥ 20 mph, temp ≤ 35°F or ≥ 90°F, precip > 0.1 in.

#1 Troy @ James Madison
6°F, 5 mph wind, Clear
Troy @ James Madison: 6°F, 5 mph wind, Clear — conditions historically favour the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.
#2 Duke @ Virginia
10°F, 5 mph wind, Clear
Duke @ Virginia: 10°F, 5 mph wind, Clear — conditions historically favour the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.
#3 Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State
18°F, 2 mph wind, Clear
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State: 18°F, 2 mph wind, Clear — conditions historically favour the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.

Strongest Home-Field Advantages This Week

Home teams ranked by stadium HFA rating. Higher values reflect stronger historical home performance at that venue. Venues above 4,000 ft are flagged for altitude disadvantage.

#1 James Madison
HFA 3.3 pts · Bridgeforth Stadium · 24,877 capacity
James Madison carries a 3.3-point HFA edge at Bridgeforth Stadium (24,877 capacity) against Troy.
#2 Tulane
HFA 3.0 pts · Yulman Stadium · 30,000 capacity
Tulane carries a 3.0-point HFA edge at Yulman Stadium (30,000 capacity) against North Texas.
#3 Jacksonville State
HFA 2.9 pts · AmFirst Stadium · 22,500 capacity
Jacksonville State carries a 2.9-point HFA edge at AmFirst Stadium (22,500 capacity) against Kennesaw State.

Biggest Power-Rating Gaps This Week

Games ranked by the difference between Blue Chip model ratings and the market spread. Larger gaps are the strongest signals.

#1 Troy @ James Madison
Model gap: 15.0 pts · Line: line unavailable · Home power: 12.9 · Away: -2.1
The model shows James Madison by 15.0 model points; market line is line unavailable. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.
#2 UNLV @ Boise State
Model gap: 12.7 pts · Line: line unavailable · Home power: 11.5 · Away: -1.2
The model shows Boise State by 12.7 model points; market line is line unavailable. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.
#3 Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State
Model gap: 6.1 pts · Line: line unavailable · Home power: -6.5 · Away: -0.4
The model shows Kennesaw State by 6.1 model points; market line is line unavailable. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.

All Week 15 Games

Matchup Line O/U Prediction/Outcome
Kennesaw State 19 @ 15 Jacksonville State N/A N/A –
Troy 14 @ 31 James Madison N/A N/A –
UNLV 21 @ 38 Boise State N/A N/A –
North Texas 21 vs 34 Tulane N/A N/A –
Miami (OH) 13 vs 23 Western Michigan N/A N/A –
BYU 7 vs 34 Texas Tech N/A N/A –
Georgia 28 vs 7 Alabama N/A N/A –
Indiana 13 vs 10 Ohio State N/A N/A –
Duke 27 vs 20 Virginia N/A N/A –

How We Ranked Week 15's Games

Each ranked section draws from the same enriched data file that powers our per-game pages. Travel distances are calculated as straight-line (great-circle) distances from each team's home market to the game stadium, converted from kilometres to miles. Body-clock offset is the signed time-zone difference the away team crosses. Rest-day differential is the difference in days since each team last played. Weather scoring compounds wind, temperature, and precipitation against fixed thresholds — dome stadiums are excluded as weather is irrelevant indoors — see our Weather tool for the full methodology.

HFA ratings come from our Home Field Advantage tool, which estimates the per-venue point value based on historical margin-of-victory data. Stadiums above 4,000 ft are flagged; altitude creates a documented visiting-team disadvantage. Power ratings are from the Blue Chip power-rating model. The gap between the model's implied spread and the market line is a directional signal; it is not a betting recommendation.

The model vs. market divergence section compares Blue Chip's power-rating implied win probability (derived via a logistic approximation from the rating gap) against the Kalshi prediction market probability. ATS records are sourced from the season log updated weekly by the enrichment pipeline; minimum 3 games required before a team is flagged.

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather Data

Home Field Advantage

Frequently Asked Questions

How many games are in college football Week 15 2025?

Week 15 of the 2025 FBS season features 9 games tracked by Blue Chip Analytics. The full schedule, lines, and totals are listed in the game table on this page.

How does Blue Chip Analytics rank travel disadvantages?

Away teams are ranked by the straight-line distance from their home market to the game stadium, converted to miles. Body-clock offset (time-zone hours crossed) is listed alongside distance as a compound fatigue indicator.

What weather conditions qualify as high-risk for this week?

Games are flagged when forecast conditions meet at least one of: wind speed ≥ 20 mph, temperature ≤ 35°F or ≥ 90°F, or precipitation > 0.1 inches. Scores compound across all factors — a cold and windy game ranks higher than a mildly breezy one.

What is a Home Field Advantage (HFA) rating?

Blue Chip's HFA rating estimates the point value of playing at home at a specific stadium, based on historical margin-of-victory data. A rating of 3.0 means the home team historically performs about 3 points better at that venue than their road performance would predict.

What does the power-rating gap section show?

The power-rating gap ranks games by the difference between Blue Chip's internal model rating for each team and the published market spread. A large gap between model edge and market line is a directional signal — it does not constitute a betting recommendation.

How is the model vs. market divergence calculated?

Blue Chip's power-rating gap is converted to an implied win probability using a logistic approximation (each rating point ≈ 2.8% shift from 50%). This is compared against the Kalshi prediction market win probability. Games with a divergence of 5 percentage points or more are surfaced. Both the model and market can be wrong — treat this as a directional flag, not a pick.

What qualifies as a notable ATS record?

Teams are flagged when they have played at least 3 games this season and their ATS cover rate is ≥65% (hot) or ≤30% (cold). Records are updated each week by the enrichment pipeline and reflect cumulative season-to-date results only — sample sizes are small early in the season.

Week 15 of the 2025 season features 9 FBS games; the ranked sections above surface the travel, weather, HFA, power-gap, model-vs-market, and ATS-record edges most relevant to analysts and informed fans.