NC State defeated Florida State 21–11 in a double-digit victory. NC State covered by 17.0; Game went Under by 26.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Florida State 9.5 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Carter-Finley Stadium were Cloudy, 63.0°F, Feels Like 63.0°F with winds of 10.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
63.0°F
Florida State travels 491 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
NC State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.
NC State covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 26.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Florida State (16.5) over NC State (7.0) by 9.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, NC State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. NC State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
NC State won and NC State covered the spread.
