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Week 13 •
Carter-Finley Stadium

Florida State11 @FINAL 21NC State

5-5 ACC Power rating: 16.5
5-5 ACC Power rating: 7.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FSU -7.0
PM Implied
FSU -5.2
Blue Chip model
FSU -5.9
Edge
+1.1NCSU
See details
◂ favors FSUfavors NCSU ▸Market: FSU -7.0
‹ 9.5 FSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NCSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
NCSU
1 FSU1 NCSU2 FSU2 NCSU3 FSU3 NCSUModel: FSU -5.9

Betting information

Spread
FSU -7.0
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
FSU 32.8 – 25.8 NCSU
Prediction markets
FSU 69% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

NC State defeated Florida State 21–11 in a double-digit victory. NC State covered by 17.0; Game went Under by 26.5. The market closed at Florida State -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida State -5.9, an edge of 1.1 points toward NC State. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Florida State 9.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Florida State vs NC State?

At kickoff, conditions at Carter-Finley Stadium were Cloudy, 63°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida State travels 491 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

NC State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

NC State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 26.5 points.

How do Florida State and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida State (16.5) over NC State (7.0) by 9.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, NC State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. NC State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida State and NC State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

NC State won and NC State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

63°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity90%
Wind11 mph SW
Gusts18 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida State at NC State: aerial view of Carter-Finley Stadium, wind from the SW at 10.5 mph, gusting to 18.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM EST
Venue
Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity
56,919
Elevation
410 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Florida StateAway NC StateHome
This week491 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,368 miles
Season total6,763 miles3,387 miles
Body clock20:0020:00
Rest6 days7 days

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