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Week 13 •
TDECU Stadium

TCU17 @FINAL 14Houston

6-4 Big 12 Power rating: 16.3
8-2 Big 12 Power rating: 7.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TCU -1.5
PM Implied
HOU -0.5
Blue Chip model
TCU -6.5
Edge
-5.0TCU
See details
◂ favors TCUfavors HOU ▸Market: TCU -1.5
‹ 8.8 TCU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
HOU
HOU
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 TCU2 HOU4 TCU4 HOUModel: TCU -6.5

Betting information

Spread
TCU -1.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
TCU 29.0 – 27.5 HOU
Prediction markets
HOU 53% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

TCU defeated Houston 17–14 in a nail-biter. TCU covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 25.5. The market closed at TCU -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it TCU -6.5 - a gap of 5.0 points toward TCU, of which 4.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for TCU vs Houston?

At kickoff, conditions at TDECU Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

TCU travels 238 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

TCU won by 3 in a nail-biter.

TCU covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 25.5 points.

How do TCU and Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor TCU (16.3) over Houston (7.5) by 8.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Houston brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on TCU and Houston?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

TCU won and TCU covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind5 mph SE
Gusts7 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for TCU at Houston: aerial view of TDECU Stadium, wind from the SE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 7.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM CST
Venue
TDECU Stadium
Capacity
40,000
Elevation
52 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TCUAway HoustonHome
This week238 miles0 miles
Last week1,897 milesBye week
Season total9,029 miles8,321 miles
Body clock15:0015:00
Rest6 days14 days

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