Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 09:00 PM UTC
6-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 16.3
17 FINAL 14
8-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 7.5
TCU covered by 5.5 | Game went Under by 23.5

TCU defeated Houston 17–14 in a nail-biter.

TCU @ Houston Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM CST
Stadium: TDECU Stadium
Capacity: 40,000
Elevation: 52 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Houston -2.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score TCU 26.0 - 28.5 HOU
Power Rank Implied Line TCU +8.8
Prediction Markets Houston 53% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

50.5°F

Wind Chill: 48.7°F
Wind: 5.4 mph S
Gusts: 8.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 56%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

TCU (Away)

This Week: 238.0 miles
Last Week: 1897.4 miles
Season Total: 9028.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

Houston (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8650.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Houston -2.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
TCU 16.3
Houston 7.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 238 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Houston +8
HFA: TDECU Stadium
Capacity 40,000
Elevation 52 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 50.5°F
Wind Speed 5.4 mph
Your Line Houston -8.8
Implied Value

What are the key factors for TCU vs Houston?

TCU: Key Factors

Houston: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

TCU travels 238 miles to this game, a short road trip.

TCU won by 3 in a nail-biter.

TCU covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

How do TCU and Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour TCU (16.3) over Houston (7.5) by 8.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

TCU won and TCU covered the spread.