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Week 13 •
Lane Stadium

Miami34 @FINAL 17Virginia Tech

8-2 ACC Power rating: 25.2
3-7 ACC Power rating: 0.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MIA -17.5
PM Implied
MIA -12.5
Blue Chip model
MIA -21.4
Edge
-3.9MIA
See details
◂ favors MIAfavors VT ▸Market: MIA -17.5
‹ 24.3 MIA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
VT
no impact
no impact
VT
no impact
2 MIA2 VT4 MIA4 VTModel: MIA -21.4

Betting information

Spread
MIA -17.5
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
MIA 33.5 – 16.0 VT
Prediction markets
MIA 89% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Miami defeated Virginia Tech 34–17 to secure a comfortable win. Virginia Tech covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Miami -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Miami -21.4 - a gap of 3.9 points toward Miami, of which 2.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Miami vs Virginia Tech?

Virginia Tech

Slow Start Dooms Hokies

Virginia Tech fell behind 20-3 at halftime after Miami scored on all four first-half possessions. The Hokies' inability to keep pace early forced them into a comeback mode, limiting their offensive options.

Rushing Success Against Top Defense

Despite the loss, Virginia Tech rushed for 194 yards against Miami's top-ranked rushing defense (81.8 ypg). Marcellous Hawkins led with 72 yards on eight carries, showing the Hokies can move the ball on the ground against elite units.

Interim Coach's Assessment

Interim coach Philip Montgomery noted the team played physically and on the edges, but the early deficit prevented them from sustaining drives. He believes they could have added more if they had maintained possession and avoided the quick hole.

Losing Streak and Transition

The Hokies have lost five of six games and are playing out the season under an interim coach. With James Franklin set to take over, the team is in a transitional phase, which may affect focus and execution in the final game.

Next Week: Rivalry Game at Virginia

Virginia Tech faces rival Virginia on the road. The Hokies will look to end a three-game losing streak and build momentum for the new coaching era, but must address slow starts and defensive lapses against a capable opponent.

What were the weather conditions for Miami vs Virginia Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Lane Stadium were Sunny, 57°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Miami travels 776 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Miami won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Virginia Tech covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Miami and Virginia Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Miami (25.2) over Virginia Tech (0.9) by 24.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Virginia Tech faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Virginia Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami and Virginia Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Miami won and Virginia Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

57°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity76%
Wind8 mph NW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Miami at Virginia Tech: aerial view of Lane Stadium, wind from the NW at 7.6 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Lane Stadium
Capacity
65,632
Elevation
2,067 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

MiamiAway Virginia TechHome
This week776 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,036 miles
Season total3,773 miles2,617 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days6 days

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