Week 13November 23, 2025, 01:00 AM UTC
26
9-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 20.3
@
FINAL
14
7-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 13.5

By · Last updated

BYU defeated Cincinnati 26–14 in a double-digit victory. BYU covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 16.5.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM EST
Stadium: Nippert Stadium
Capacity: 38,088
Elevation: 778 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread BYU -2.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Odds Implied Score BYU 29.5 - 27.0 CIN
Power Rank Implied Line BYU -6.8
Prediction Markets BYU 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)
BYU @ Cincinnati Preview

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BYU
Cincinnati
Home field: Nippert Stadium
Weather: Mist
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Cincinnati?

At kick-off, conditions at Nippert Stadium were Mist, 40.6°F, Wind Chill 38.3°F with winds of 3.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 23, 2025
Mist

Mist

40.6°F

Wind Chill: 38.3°F
Wind: 3.6 mph SSW
Gusts: 7.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 98%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

BYU (Away)

This Week: 1442.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10318.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Cincinnati (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6561.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for BYU vs Cincinnati?

BYU: Key Factors

LJ Martin's Historic Performance Establishes Elite Ground Game

Martin's career-high 222 rushing yards (8th-most in school history) with two touchdowns demonstrates BYU has a dominant rushing attack. This was his 6th 100-yard game this season, showing consistent production that opposing defenses must account for heavily in game planning.

Big 12 Championship Hopes Remain Alive Despite Missing Clinch Opportunity

At 10-1 overall and 7-1 in Big 12 play, BYU kept their title game hopes alive but couldn't clinch due to Arizona State's win over Colorado. They still control their destiny but face pressure in remaining games, particularly against UCF next week.

Defense Peaks at Right Time with Dominant Run Stopping

BYU held Cincinnati to just 87 rushing yards, their lowest total since December 2022, against a team averaging 194 yards per game on the ground. Coach Sitake noted the defense is 'peaking at the right time' heading into crucial final games.

Freshman QB Bachmeier Continues Red Zone Excellence

Bear Bachmeier's 6-yard rushing touchdown gives him 11 rushing TDs, tying for second-most by a freshman in program history. His dual-threat ability in short-yardage situations provides BYU with reliable scoring options near the goal line.

Team Philosophy Focused on Winning Over Style Points

Despite being ranked 11th in CFP rankings, BYU players emphasize winning games over impressing committees. Martin's quote 'If we win, we'll be in' reflects the team's mindset heading into the final stretch, suggesting they won't change their approach for style points.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 1,443 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

BYU arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

BYU won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

BYU covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

How do BYU and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour BYU (20.3) over Cincinnati (13.5) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Cincinnati faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

BYU won and BYU covered the spread.