26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 16 Final 21 13 Final 21
Week 13 •
Nippert Stadium

BYU26 @FINAL 14Cincinnati

9-1 Big 12 Power rating: 20.3
7-3 Big 12 Power rating: 13.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BYU -2.5
PM Implied
BYU -2.2
Blue Chip model
BYU -3.8
Edge
-1.3BYU
See details
◂ favors BYUfavors CIN ▸Market: BYU -2.5
‹ 6.8 BYU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CIN
no impact
CIN
no impact
no impact
1 BYU1 CIN2 BYU2 CIN3 BYU3 CINModel: BYU -3.8

Betting information

Spread
BYU -2.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
BYU 29.5 – 27.0 CIN
Prediction markets
BYU 59% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

BYU defeated Cincinnati 26–14 in a double-digit victory. BYU covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 16.5. The market closed at BYU -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it BYU -3.8, an edge of 1.3 points toward BYU.

What are the key factors for BYU vs Cincinnati?

BYU

LJ Martin's Historic Performance Establishes Elite Ground Game

Martin's career-high 222 rushing yards (8th-most in school history) with two touchdowns demonstrates BYU has a dominant rushing attack. This was his 6th 100-yard game this season, showing consistent production that opposing defenses must account for heavily in game planning.

Big 12 Championship Hopes Remain Alive Despite Missing Clinch Opportunity

At 10-1 overall and 7-1 in Big 12 play, BYU kept their title game hopes alive but couldn't clinch due to Arizona State's win over Colorado. They still control their destiny but face pressure in remaining games, particularly against UCF next week.

Defense Peaks at Right Time with Dominant Run Stopping

BYU held Cincinnati to just 87 rushing yards, their lowest total since December 2022, against a team averaging 194 yards per game on the ground. Coach Sitake noted the defense is 'peaking at the right time' heading into crucial final games.

Freshman QB Bachmeier Continues Red Zone Excellence

Bear Bachmeier's 6-yard rushing touchdown gives him 11 rushing TDs, tying for second-most by a freshman in program history. His dual-threat ability in short-yardage situations provides BYU with reliable scoring options near the goal line.

Team Philosophy Focused on Winning Over Style Points

Despite being ranked 11th in CFP rankings, BYU players emphasize winning games over impressing committees. Martin's quote 'If we win, we'll be in' reflects the team's mindset heading into the final stretch, suggesting they won't change their approach for style points.

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Cincinnati?

At kickoff, conditions at Nippert Stadium were Mist, 41°F, wind chill 38°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 1,443 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

BYU arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

BYU won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

BYU covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

How do BYU and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor BYU (20.3) over Cincinnati (13.5) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Cincinnati faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on BYU and Cincinnati?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

BYU won and BYU covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Mist

41°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity98%
Wind4 mph SSW
Gusts8 mph
Wind chill38°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for BYU at Cincinnati: aerial view of Nippert Stadium, wind from the SSW at 3.6 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM EST
Venue
Nippert Stadium
Capacity
38,088
Elevation
778 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

BYUAway CincinnatiHome
This week1,443 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total10,318 miles6,561 miles
Body clock18:0020:00
Rest7 days8 days

Other games this week