Tulsa defeated Army 26–25 in a nail-biter. Tulsa covered by 11.0; Game went Over by 7.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Army 9.8 points stronger on a neutral field.
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At kick-off, conditions at Michie Stadium were Clear, 43.5°F, Wind Chill 38.5°F with winds of 6.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
43.5°F
Army blew an 11-point lead and allowed Tulsa to score 12 unanswered points in the final quarter, including the game-winning field goal with 12 seconds left. This inability to close out games could be a critical weakness in future tight contests.
Cale Hellums dominated early with all three of his rushing touchdowns coming in the first half, totaling 159 rushing yards and 64 passing yards. However, the offense failed to maintain this production when needed most in the second half.
Army's inability to convert on fourth down late in the game directly led to Tulsa's game-winning drive. This failure in a must-have situation highlights potential issues with execution under pressure.
At 5-5 overall and 3-4 in conference play, this devastating loss significantly damages Army's chances of reaching bowl eligibility, putting immense pressure on their remaining games to achieve the necessary six wins.
After containing Tulsa's rushing attack early, Army allowed Dominic Richardson to accumulate 203 rushing yards on 28 carries, showing concerning defensive fatigue or adjustments that opponents may exploit going forward.
Tulsa travels 1,237 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Tulsa arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Tulsa won by 1 in a nail-biter.
Tulsa covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 7.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Army (-1.7) over Tulsa (-11.5) by 9.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Army brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Tulsa won and Tulsa covered the spread.
