Week 13
Michie Stadium

Tulsa26 @FINAL 25Army , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

3-7 American Power rating: -11.5
5-4 American Power rating: -1.7

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ARMY -10.0
PM Implied
ARMY -7.7
Blue Chip model
ARMY -12.4
Edge
+2.4ARMY
See details
◂ favors TLSAfavors ARMY ▸Market: ARMY -10.0
9.8 › ARMY
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1 TLSA1 ARMY2 TLSA2 ARMYModel: ARMY -12.4

Betting information

Spread
ARMY -10.0
Total
43.5
Odds implied score
TLSA 16.8 – 26.8 ARMY
Prediction markets
ARMY 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Tulsa defeated Army 26–25 in a nail-biter. Tulsa covered by 11.0; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Army -10.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Army -12.4, an edge of 2.4 points toward Army. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Army 9.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for Tulsa vs Army?

Army

Late-game collapse raises concerns about closing ability

Army blew an 11-point lead and allowed Tulsa to score 12 unanswered points in the final quarter, including the game-winning field goal with 12 seconds left. This inability to close out games could be a critical weakness in future tight contests.

Strong first-half offensive performance not sustained

Cale Hellums dominated early with all three of his rushing touchdowns coming in the first half, totaling 159 rushing yards and 64 passing yards. However, the offense failed to maintain this production when needed most in the second half.

Critical turnover on downs in crucial moment

Army's inability to convert on fourth down late in the game directly led to Tulsa's game-winning drive. This failure in a must-have situation highlights potential issues with execution under pressure.

Bowl eligibility hopes take major hit

At 5-5 overall and 3-4 in conference play, this devastating loss significantly damages Army's chances of reaching bowl eligibility, putting immense pressure on their remaining games to achieve the necessary six wins.

Defensive struggles in second half

After containing Tulsa's rushing attack early, Army allowed Dominic Richardson to accumulate 203 rushing yards on 28 carries, showing concerning defensive fatigue or adjustments that opponents may exploit going forward.

What were the weather conditions for Tulsa vs Army?

At kickoff, conditions at Michie Stadium were Clear, 44°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Tulsa travels 1,237 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Tulsa arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Tulsa won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Tulsa covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Tulsa and Army compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Army (-1.7) over Tulsa (-11.5) by 9.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Army brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Tulsa won and Tulsa covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Clear

44°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind7 mph NNW
Gusts11 mph
Wind chill39°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Tulsa at Army: aerial view of Michie Stadium, wind from the NNW at 6.9 mph, gusting to 10.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Michie Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
348 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure TulsaAway ArmyHome
This week1,237 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total7,781 miles10,726 miles
Body clock11:0012:00
Rest7 days14 days