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Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
New Mexico State @ UTEP
3-7
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.8
34 FINAL 31
2-8
CUSA
Power Rank: -11.4
New Mexico State covered by 6.5 | Game went Over by 19.5

By · Last updated

New Mexico State defeated UTEP 34–31 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UTEP 5.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

New Mexico State @ UTEP Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTEP -3.5
Total (O/U) 45.5
Expected Score NMSU 21.0 - 24.5 UTEP
Power Rank Implied Line UTEP +5.4
Prediction Markets UTEP 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

53.5°F

Wind Chill: 53.9°F
Wind: 2.7 mph ESE
Gusts: 4.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 35%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico State (Away)

This Week: 37.5 miles
Last Week: 2658.1 miles
Season Total: 10320.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

UTEP (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1682.8 miles
Season Total: 11765.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UTEP -3.5
Total Points 45.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico State -16.8
UTEP -11.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 37 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Sun Bowl
Capacity 51,500
Elevation 3904 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 53.5°F
Wind Speed 2.7 mph
Your Line UTEP +5.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for New Mexico State vs UTEP?

New Mexico State: Key Factors

UTEP: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 37 miles to this game, a short road trip.

New Mexico State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

New Mexico State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do New Mexico State and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTEP (-11.4) over New Mexico State (-16.8) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico State and UTEP?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

New Mexico State won and New Mexico State covered the spread.