Troy defeated Georgia State 31–19 in a double-digit victory. Troy covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 0.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Partly cloudy, 69.4°F, Feels Like 69.4°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
69.4°F
Georgia State's defense allowed Troy quarterback Goose Crowder to throw for 361 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, highlighting a vulnerability in pass coverage that opponents can exploit.
Christian Veilleux threw for 307 yards and a touchdown, with Javon Robinson recording 146 receiving yards and a score, indicating the Panthers have a capable passing attack despite the loss.
Georgia State failed on a 2-point conversion attempt after a touchdown, and their only touchdown came on a 4-yard run, suggesting struggles to finish drives with maximum points.
The loss extends Georgia State's losing streak to eight games, with a 1-10 overall record and 0-7 in conference play, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence heading into their next game.
Georgia State travels 161 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Georgia State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Troy won by 12 in a double-digit victory.
Troy covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 0.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Troy (-4.6) over Georgia State (-15.8) by 11.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Troy brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Troy won and Troy covered the spread.
