DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Troy defeated Georgia State 31–19 in a double-digit victory. Troy covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at Troy -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Troy -13.0 - a gap of 3.5 points toward Troy, of which 2.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Georgia State's defense allowed Troy quarterback Goose Crowder to throw for 361 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, highlighting a vulnerability in pass coverage that opponents can exploit.
Christian Veilleux threw for 307 yards and a touchdown, with Javon Robinson recording 146 receiving yards and a score, indicating the Panthers have a capable passing attack despite the loss.
Georgia State failed on a 2-point conversion attempt after a touchdown, and their only touchdown came on a 4-yard run, suggesting struggles to finish drives with maximum points.
The loss extends Georgia State's losing streak to eight games, with a 1-10 overall record and 0-7 in conference play, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence heading into their next game.
At kickoff, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Partly cloudy, 69°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly cloudy
69°F
| Measure | Georgia StateAway | TroyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 161 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,306 miles |
| Season total | 2,161 miles | 5,745 miles |
| Body clock | 16:00 | 15:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 8 days |
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