Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 09:00 PM UTC
1-9
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -15.8
19 FINAL 31
6-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -4.6
Troy covered by 0.5 | Game went Under by 1.5

Troy defeated Georgia State 31–19 in a double-digit victory.

Georgia State @ Troy Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM CST
Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity: 61,831
Elevation: 548 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Troy -11.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Expected Score GAST 20.0 - 31.5 TROY
Power Rank Implied Line Troy +11.2
Prediction Markets Troy 78% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

31.4°F

Wind Chill: 25.9°F
Wind: 5.6 mph WSW
Gusts: 11.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 59%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Georgia State (Away)

This Week: 161.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3171.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Troy (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1306.2 miles
Season Total: 6961.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Troy -11.5
Total Points 51.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Georgia State -15.8
Troy -4.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 161 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Troy +1
HFA: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity 61,831
Elevation 548 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 31.4°F
Wind Speed 5.6 mph
Your Line Troy +11.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Georgia State vs Troy?

Georgia State: Key Factors

Troy: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Georgia State travels 161 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Georgia State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Troy won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

Troy covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)?

At 31.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Georgia State and Troy compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Troy (-4.6) over Georgia State (-15.8) by 11.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Troy brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Troy won and Troy covered the spread.