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Week 13 •
Albertsons Stadium

Colorado State21 @FINAL 49Boise State

2-8 MW Power rating: -7.8
6-4 MW Power rating: 9.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BOIS -17.5
PM Implied
BOIS -12.4
Blue Chip model
BOIS -19.9
Edge
+2.5BOIS
See details
◂ favors CSUfavors BOIS ▸Market: BOIS -17.5
17.6 › BOIS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BOIS
no impact
no impact
no impact
CSU
1 CSU1 BOIS2 CSU2 BOIS3 CSU3 BOISModel: BOIS -19.9

Betting information

Spread
BOIS -17.5
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
CSU 14.0 – 31.5 BOIS
Prediction markets
BOIS 88% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Boise State defeated Colorado State 49–21 in a dominant performance. Boise State covered by 10.5; Game went Over by 24.5. The market closed at Boise State -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Boise State -19.9, an edge of 2.5 points toward Boise State.

What were the weather conditions for Colorado State vs Boise State?

At kickoff, conditions at Albertsons Stadium were Partly cloudy, 32°F, wind chill 27°F with winds of 6 mph. At 32°F this is a freezing game. Cold is a scoring-environment factor rather than a side factor: Blue Chip has not measured a reliable spread effect from temperature. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Colorado State travels 608 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Boise State won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Boise State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 24.5 points.

How do Colorado State and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (9.8) over Colorado State (-7.8) by 17.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Colorado State and Boise State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Boise State won and Boise State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

32°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind6 mph ESE
Gusts12 mph
Wind chill27°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Colorado State at Boise State: aerial view of Albertsons Stadium, wind from the ESE at 5.8 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM MST
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Capacity
36,387
Elevation
2,723 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Colorado StateAway Boise StateHome
This week608 miles0 miles
Last week778 miles1,496 miles
Season total5,177 miles10,870 miles
Body clock17:0017:00
Rest8 days7 days

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