UCF defeated Oklahoma State 17–14 in a nail-biter. Oklahoma State covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 16.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at FBC Mortgage Stadium were Clear, 72.1°F, Feels Like 73.8°F with winds of 5.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
72.1°F
Oklahoma State travels 1,061 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Oklahoma State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
UCF won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Oklahoma State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 16.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UCF (7.0) over Oklahoma State (-11.9) by 18.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCF brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
UCF won and Oklahoma State covered the spread.
