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Week 13 •
Hancock Whitney Stadium

Southern Miss35 @FINAL 42South Alabama

7-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -3.5
3-7 Sun Belt Power rating: -7.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USM -2.5
PM Implied
USM -0.1
Blue Chip model
USM -1.8
Edge
+0.7USA
See details
◂ favors USMfavors USA ▸Market: USM -2.5
‹ 4.2 USM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USA
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USM1 USA2 USM2 USAModel: USM -1.8

Betting information

Spread
USM -2.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
USM 28.0 – 25.5 USA
Prediction markets
USM 50% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Alabama defeated Southern Miss 42–35 in a one-score game. South Alabama covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 23.5. The market closed at Southern Miss -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Southern Miss -1.8. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Southern Miss 4.2 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Southern Miss vs South Alabama?

At kickoff, conditions at Hancock Whitney Stadium were Partly cloudy, 72°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Southern Miss travels 80 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

South Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.

South Alabama covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 23.5 points.

How do Southern Miss and South Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Southern Miss (-3.5) over South Alabama (-7.7) by 4.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Alabama faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Alabama brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Southern Miss and South Alabama?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Alabama won and South Alabama covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

72°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity87%
Wind5 mph WSW
Gusts8 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Southern Miss at South Alabama: aerial view of Hancock Whitney Stadium, wind from the WSW at 4.5 mph, gusting to 8.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity
25,450
Elevation
197 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Southern MissAway South AlabamaHome
This week80 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game522 miles
Season total2,403 miles2,960 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

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