South Alabama defeated Southern Miss 42–35 in a one-score game. South Alabama covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 23.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Southern Miss 4.2 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Hancock Whitney Stadium were Partly cloudy, 72.0°F, Feels Like 73.9°F with winds of 4.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
72.0°F
Southern Miss travels 80 miles to this game, a short road trip.
South Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.
South Alabama covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 23.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Southern Miss (-3.5) over South Alabama (-7.7) by 4.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Alabama faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Alabama brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
South Alabama won and South Alabama covered the spread.
