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Week 13 •
Rice Stadium

North Texas56 @FINAL 24Rice

9-1 American Power rating: 8.2
5-5 American Power rating: -11.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -18.5
PM Implied
UNT -13.7
Blue Chip model
UNT -16.4
Edge
+2.1RICE
See details
◂ favors UNTfavors RICE ▸Market: UNT -18.5
‹ 19.8 UNT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
RICE
RICE
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UNT1 RICE2 UNT2 RICE3 UNT3 RICEModel: UNT -16.4

Betting information

Spread
UNT -18.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
UNT 38.0 – 19.5 RICE
Prediction markets
UNT 91% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

North Texas defeated Rice 56–24 in a dominant performance. North Texas covered by 13.5; Game went Over by 22.5. The market closed at North Texas -18.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -16.4, an edge of 2.1 points toward Rice.

What are the key factors for North Texas vs Rice?

North Texas

Explosive Passing Attack

Drew Mestemaker threw for 469 yards and 3 TDs, with Wyatt Young setting an AAC record with 295 receiving yards and 2 TDs. This high-powered aerial game will be a key factor against Temple.

Resilience and Momentum

After falling behind 14-0, North Texas scored 42 straight points, showcasing their ability to overcome adversity. They have won five straight and scored 50+ points six times this season.

Conference Championship Implications

North Texas is tied with Navy and Tulane for the AAC lead. A win against Temple keeps them in contention for the conference title game, adding motivation for a strong performance.

Balanced Offensive Contributions

Caleb Hawkins rushed for 97 yards and 3 TDs, complementing the passing game. The Mean Green outgained Rice 640-397, indicating a versatile offense that can attack in multiple ways.

Defensive Improvement Needed

Despite the win, North Texas allowed 397 yards and 24 points, including an early 14-0 deficit. Tightening up defensively will be crucial against Temple to avoid slow starts.

What were the weather conditions for North Texas vs Rice?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice Stadium were Partly cloudy, 68°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

North Texas travels 262 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

North Texas won by 32 in a dominant performance.

North Texas covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 22.5 points.

How do North Texas and Rice compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (8.2) over Rice (-11.6) by 19.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Rice faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Rice brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Texas and Rice?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

North Texas won and North Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind7 mph NE
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for North Texas at Rice: aerial view of Rice Stadium, wind from the NE at 6.7 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CST
Venue
Rice Stadium
Capacity
47,000
Elevation
66 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

North TexasAway RiceHome
This week262 miles0 miles
Last week1,197 milesBye week
Season total7,919 miles5,160 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest8 days15 days

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