Week 13
AlamodomeIndoor

East Carolina24 @FINAL 58UTSA , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

7-3 American Power rating: 8.6
5-5 American Power rating: 2.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ECU -1.5
PM Implied
ECU -0.4
Blue Chip model
ECU -2.1
Edge
-0.6ECU
See details
◂ favors ECUfavors UTSA ▸Market: ECU -1.5
‹ 6.2 ECU
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UTSA
no impact
UTSA
no impact
no impact
2 ECU2 UTSA4 ECU4 UTSAModel: ECU -2.1

Betting information

Spread
ECU -1.5
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
ECU 32.0 – 30.5 UTSA
Prediction markets
ECU 52% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UTSA defeated East Carolina 58–24 in a dominant performance. UTSA covered by 35.5; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at East Carolina -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it East Carolina -2.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated East Carolina 6.2 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for East Carolina vs UTSA?

East Carolina

Defensive Struggles Exposed

East Carolina's defense allowed 58 points and 5 passing touchdowns, indicating significant vulnerabilities against a balanced UTSA offense. This performance suggests the defense needs major adjustments to contain future opponents.

Offensive Bright Spots Despite Blowout

Katin Houser threw for 241 yards and 2 touchdowns, and Anthony Smith had 143 receiving yards and a touchdown, showing the passing game can produce even in a lopsided loss. This could be a foundation for next week's game plan.

Worst Loss Since Last Year

The 58-24 defeat is the Pirates' worst since a 55-24 loss to Charlotte in 2023, indicating a potential decline in team morale and consistency. This may affect their preparation and confidence for the next game.

Halftime Deficit Proves Fatal

Trailing 34-3 at halftime, East Carolina was unable to mount a comeback, highlighting issues with slow starts and inability to adjust. Improving first-half performance will be critical in future matchups.

What were the weather conditions for East Carolina vs UTSA?

This game was played indoors at Alamodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

East Carolina travels 1,301 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

East Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UTSA won by 34 in a dominant performance.

UTSA covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do East Carolina and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor East Carolina (8.6) over UTSA (2.4) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTSA faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTSA brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UTSA won and UTSA covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Alamodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for East Carolina at UTSA: aerial view of Alamodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
Alamodome
Capacity
64,000
Elevation
738 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure East CarolinaAway UTSAHome
This week1,301 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,224 miles
Season total4,083 miles9,741 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days