Week 13
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Arkansas37 @FINAL 52Texas , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

2-8 SEC Power rating: 11.8
7-3 SEC Power rating: 22.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TEX -8.5
PM Implied
TEX -7.3
Blue Chip model
TEX -14.5
Edge
+6.0TEX
See details
◂ favors ARKfavors TEX ▸Market: TEX -8.5
11.1 › TEX
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TEX
no impact
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no impact
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2 ARK2 TEX4 ARK4 TEX6 ARK6 TEXModel: TEX -14.5

Betting information

Spread
TEX -8.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
ARK 25.0 – 33.5 TEX
Prediction markets
TEX 77% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas defeated Arkansas 52–37 in a double-digit victory. Texas covered by 6.5; Game went Over by 30.5. The market closed at Texas -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas -14.5 - a gap of 6.0 points toward Texas, of which 5.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Arkansas vs Texas?

Arkansas

Nine-game losing streak continues with defensive collapse

Arkansas extended their losing streak to nine games in a 52-37 loss to Texas, marking another defensive breakdown where they allowed 52 points. The Razorbacks have now surrendered significant point totals consistently, indicating major defensive issues that will be problematic against Missouri's offense next week.

Second-half turnovers and inability to get stops

Arkansas was competitive in the first half, trailing only 24-20, but quarterback Taylen Green threw a crucial interception on their first possession of the second half that led to a Texas touchdown. Interim coach Bobby Petrino noted they 'couldn't get off the field' defensively in the second half, showing continued issues with closing out games.

Team attitude and leadership concerns emerging

For the first time this season, interim coach Bobby Petrino expressed concern about some players' attitudes not being where they need to be. This suggests potential locker room issues and lack of fight as the season winds down, which could impact their performance against ranked Missouri.

Offensive bright spots with Green and Washington

Despite the loss, Arkansas showed some offensive capability with touchdown runs from both quarterback Taylen Green and running back Mike Washington. The ability to keep pace early (20 points in first half) suggests the offense can move the ball, which may be crucial against Missouri's defense.

Winless in SEC play heading into final game

Arkansas remains 0-7 in SEC play and 2-9 overall, making them one of the worst teams in the conference. With only the Missouri game remaining, they face a ranked opponent while showing signs of a team that has mentally checked out, making an upset victory unlikely.

What were the weather conditions for Arkansas vs Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium were Cloudy, 64°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Arkansas travels 449 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas won by 15 in a double-digit victory.

Texas covered the spread.

The total went Over by 30.5 points.

How do Arkansas and Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas (22.9) over Arkansas (11.8) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Texas won and Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

64°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind9 mph NE
Gusts14 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Arkansas at Texas: aerial view of DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, wind from the NE at 8.9 mph, gusting to 14.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity
100,119
Elevation
574 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure ArkansasAway TexasHome
This week449 miles0 miles
Last week853 miles1,756 miles
Season total3,516 miles9,086 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days6 days