Week 13
Joe Aillet Stadium

Liberty28 @FINAL 34Louisiana Tech , Week 13, Nov 22, 2025

4-6 CUSA Power rating: -7.3
5-5 CUSA Power rating: -1.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LIB -1.5
PM Implied
LIB -0.1
Blue Chip model
LT -9.9
Edge
+11.4LT
See details
◂ favors LIBfavors LT ▸Market: LIB -1.5
LT
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5 LIB5 LT10 LIB10 LTModel: LT -9.9

Betting information

Spread
LIB -1.5
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
LIB 23.5 – 22.0 LT
Prediction markets
LIB 51% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Louisiana Tech defeated Liberty 34–28 in a closely contested finish. Louisiana Tech covered by 7.5; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Liberty -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisiana Tech -9.9 - a gap of 11.4 points toward Louisiana Tech, of which 10.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Liberty vs Louisiana Tech?

Louisiana Tech

Comeback Resilience

Louisiana Tech overcame a 21-point third-quarter deficit to win in overtime, showing strong mental toughness and ability to adjust under pressure.

Turnover Dominance

The defense forced four interceptions, including two by Jakari Foster, which were crucial in shifting momentum and securing the win.

Rushing Attack Strength

Quarterback Trey Kukuk and running back Andrew Burnette combined for 236 rushing yards and five touchdowns, highlighting a potent ground game that can control the clock and wear down defenses.

Quarterback Efficiency

Kukuk completed 65% of his passes for 118 yards and added 143 rushing yards, demonstrating dual-threat capability that will challenge future opponents.

Clutch Performance in OT

Andrew Burnette's 25-yard touchdown run in overtime sealed the victory, underscoring the team's ability to execute in high-pressure situations.

What were the weather conditions for Liberty vs Louisiana Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Joe Aillet Stadium were Overcast, 59°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Liberty travels 833 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Liberty arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Louisiana Tech won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Louisiana Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Liberty and Louisiana Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisiana Tech (-1.0) over Liberty (-7.3) by 6.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana Tech brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Louisiana Tech won and Louisiana Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity91%
Wind5 mph NNW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Liberty at Louisiana Tech: aerial view of Joe Aillet Stadium, wind from the NNW at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity
23,000
Elevation
269 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure LibertyAway Louisiana TechHome
This week833 miles0 miles
Last week1,605 miles3,244 miles
Season total7,579 miles8,296 miles
Body clock15:0014:00
Rest7 days6 days