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Week 13 •
Protective Stadium

South Florida48 @FINAL 18UAB

7-3 American Power rating: 11.9
3-7 American Power rating: -9.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USF -21.5
PM Implied
USF -16.0
Blue Chip model
USF -19.0
Edge
+2.5UAB
See details
◂ favors USFfavors UAB ▸Market: USF -21.5
‹ 21.8 USF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UAB
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USF1 UAB2 USF2 UAB3 USF3 UABModel: USF -19.0

Betting information

Spread
USF -21.5
Total
68.5
Odds implied score
USF 45.0 – 23.5 UAB
Prediction markets
USF 94% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Florida defeated UAB 48–18 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at South Florida -21.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -19.0, an edge of 2.5 points toward UAB.

What were the weather conditions for South Florida vs UAB?

At kickoff, conditions at Protective Stadium were Clear, 68°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Florida travels 460 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Florida arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

South Florida won by 30 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do South Florida and UAB compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (11.9) over UAB (-9.9) by 21.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UAB faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UAB brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Florida and UAB?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 22, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity76%
Wind4 mph NW
Gusts8 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for South Florida at UAB: aerial view of Protective Stadium, wind from the NW at 4 mph, gusting to 7.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Protective Stadium
Capacity
47,100
Elevation
623 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

South FloridaAway UABHome
This week460 miles0 miles
Last week1,667 milesHome game
Season total5,961 miles6,177 miles
Body clock15:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

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