Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
7-3
American
Power Rank: 11.9
48 FINAL 18
3-7
American
Power Rank: -9.9
South Florida covered by 8.5 | Game went Over by 5.5

South Florida defeated UAB 48–18 in a dominant performance.

South Florida @ UAB Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM CST
Stadium: Protective Stadium
Capacity: 47,100
Elevation: 623 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -21.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score USF 41.0 - 19.5 UAB
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +21.8
Prediction Markets South Florida 94% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

32.1°F

Wind Chill: 27.2°F
Wind: 4.9 mph SW
Gusts: 10.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 63%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Florida (Away)

This Week: 460.2 miles
Last Week: 1667.0 miles
Season Total: 5960.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

UAB (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7276.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line South Florida -21.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
South Florida 11.9
UAB -9.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 460 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Protective Stadium
Capacity 47,100
Elevation 623 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 32.1°F
Wind Speed 4.9 mph
Your Line UAB -21.8
Implied Value

What are the key factors for South Florida vs UAB?

South Florida: Key Factors

UAB: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

South Florida travels 460 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Florida arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

South Florida won by 30 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Protective Stadium?

At 32.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do South Florida and UAB compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (11.9) over UAB (-9.9) by 21.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UAB faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UAB brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.