Utah State defeated Fresno State 28–17 in a double-digit victory. Utah State covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 5.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Valley Children's Stadium were Mist, 46.8°F, Wind Chill 46.4°F with winds of 2.0 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
46.8°F
Utah State travels 545 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Utah State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Utah State won by 11 in a double-digit victory.
Utah State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 5.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Fresno State (-3.3) over Utah State (-4.1) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Fresno State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Utah State won and Utah State covered the spread.
