35 Final 21 3 Final 24 44 Final 28 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 13 •
Valley Children's Stadium

Utah State28 @FINAL 17Fresno State

5-5 MW Power rating: -4.1
7-3 MW Power rating: -3.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FRES -1.5
PM Implied
FRES -1.4
Blue Chip model
FRES -3.4
Edge
+1.9FRES
See details
◂ favors USUfavors FRES ▸Market: FRES -1.5
FRES
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FRES
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USU1 FRES2 USU2 FRES3 USU3 FRESModel: FRES -3.4

Betting information

Spread
FRES -1.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
USU 24.5 – 26.0 FRES
Prediction markets
FRES 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Utah State defeated Fresno State 28–17 in a double-digit victory. Utah State covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Fresno State -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Fresno State -3.4, an edge of 1.9 points toward Fresno State.

What were the weather conditions for Utah State vs Fresno State?

At kickoff, conditions at Valley Children's Stadium were Mist, 47°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 545 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Utah State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Utah State won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Utah State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Utah State and Fresno State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Fresno State (-3.3) over Utah State (-4.1) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Fresno State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Utah State and Fresno State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Utah State won and Utah State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Mist

47°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind2 mph NE
Gusts4 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Utah State at Fresno State: aerial view of Valley Children's Stadium, wind from the NE at 2 mph, gusting to 4.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PST
Venue
Valley Children's Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
351 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Utah StateAway Fresno StateHome
This week545 miles0 miles
Last week861 milesHome game
Season total13,609 miles11,529 miles
Body clock20:3019:30
Rest7 days7 days

Other games this week