Week 13 •
Beaver Stadium

Nebraska10 @FINAL 37Penn State , Week 13, Nov 23, 2025

7-3 Big Ten Power rating: 16.8
4-6 Big Ten Power rating: 16.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
PSU -7.0
PM Implied
PSU -6.2
Blue Chip model
PSU -1.3
Edge
-5.7NEB
See details
◂ favors NEBfavors PSU ▸Market: PSU -7.0
NEB
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2 NEB2 PSU4 NEB4 PSU6 NEB6 PSUModel: PSU -1.3

Betting information

Spread
PSU -7.0
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
NEB 19.3 – 26.3 PSU
Prediction markets
PSU 73% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Penn State defeated Nebraska 37–10 to secure a comfortable win. Penn State covered by 20.0; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Penn State -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Penn State -1.3 - a gap of 5.7 points toward Nebraska, of which 4.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Nebraska vs Penn State?

Penn State

Record-Breaking Rushing Performance

Kaytron Allen became Penn State's all-time career rushing leader with 3,954 yards, surpassing Evan Royster. He ran for 160 yards and two touchdowns, continuing his strong form from the previous week.

Dominant Defense Sets the Tone

Penn State's defense played its best game of the season, holding Nebraska to just 140 first-half yards, forcing three turnovers on downs, and stifling the run game. The opening goal-line stand set the tone for the entire game.

Back-to-Back Wins Under Interim Coach

The Nittany Lions won consecutive games for the first time under interim head coach Terry Smith, improving to 5-6. They need one more win to become bowl-eligible and avoid their first losing season since 2004.

Two-Headed Running Attack Thrives

The tandem of Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton continues to be effective. Singleton tied Saquon Barkley's career touchdown record with 43, and the duo's production was key to Penn State's offensive success.

Next Game: Road Test at Rutgers

Penn State visits Rutgers on Saturday with bowl eligibility on the line. The team will need to maintain its defensive intensity and rushing attack to secure a winning record and extend the season.

What were the weather conditions for Nebraska vs Penn State?

At kickoff, conditions at Beaver Stadium were Overcast, 38°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Nebraska travels 986 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Nebraska arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Penn State won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Penn State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Nebraska and Penn State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Nebraska (16.8) over Penn State (16.3) by 0.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Penn State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Penn State won and Penn State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

38°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind1 mph WSW
Gusts2 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Nebraska at Penn State: aerial view of Beaver Stadium, wind from the WSW at 0.9 mph, gusting to 1.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Beaver Stadium
Capacity
106,572
Elevation
1,178 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure NebraskaAway Penn StateHome
This week986 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week734 miles
Season total6,633 miles7,204 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest14 days8 days