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Week 13 •
Stanford Stadium

California10 @FINAL 31Stanford

6-4 ACC Power rating: -1.1
3-7 ACC Power rating: -1.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CAL -4.5
PM Implied
CAL -3.4
Blue Chip model
STAN -1.8
Edge
+6.3STAN
See details
◂ favors CALfavors STAN ▸Market: CAL -4.5
CAL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
STAN
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 CAL2 STAN4 CAL4 STAN6 CAL6 STANModel: STAN -1.8

Betting information

Spread
CAL -4.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
CAL 26.0 – 21.5 STAN
Prediction markets
CAL 64% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Stanford defeated California 31–10 to secure a comfortable win. Stanford covered by 25.5; Game went Under by 6.5. The market closed at California -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Stanford -1.8 - a gap of 6.3 points toward Stanford, of which 5.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for California vs Stanford?

At kickoff, conditions at Stanford Stadium were Fog, 48°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

California travels 30 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Stanford won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Stanford covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do California and Stanford compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor California (-1.1) over Stanford (-1.7) by 0.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Stanford faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Stanford brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on California and Stanford?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Stanford won and Stanford covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 23, 2025 Game-time

Fog

48°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity97%
Wind1 mph SE
Gusts2 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for California at Stanford: aerial view of Stanford Stadium, wind from the SE at 0.9 mph, gusting to 1.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM PST
Venue
Stanford Stadium
Capacity
50,424
Elevation
46 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

CaliforniaAway StanfordHome
This week30 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total15,747 miles23,562 miles
Body clock16:3016:30
Rest14 days15 days

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