UTSA Roadrunners is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +0.6. UTSA Roadrunners enters the season with a power rating of +0.6, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The UTSA Roadrunners head to Texas State next in Week 2. In 2025, UTSA Roadrunners went 7-6 overall, 7-6 against the spread, and 10-3 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the UTSA Roadrunners Power Rating of +0.6 is 0.6 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. UTSA Roadrunners have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,396 miles, ranking 97th heaviest in the FBS.
Owen McCown QB, Will Henderson III RB, David Amador II WR, AJ Wilson WR, Brandon High Jr. RB, TJ West WR, James Madison II WR, Mekhi Anderson WR
Brandon Tucker LB, Owen Pewee LB, Tai Leonard EDGE, Johnny Bowens III EDGE, Jameian Buxton DL, Camron Cooper LB, Elijah Baldwin LB, Nate Robinson Jr. S, Ahamad Chapman CB, Asaad Chapman CB
Michael Petro K, Caile Hogan P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Week 10 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Week 11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 7-2 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 6-5 | 6-5 | 8-3 |
| Week 14 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 9-3 |
| Postseason | 7-6 | 7-6 | 10-3 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -1.7 in the preseason and finished +1.9 after the postseason, a move of +3.6 points. High +2.4 (week 13), low -3.5 (week 0).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +6.9 is regressed to +3.8 before it is applied, a difference of 3.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 6 | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Texas | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Colorado State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Rice | 9 | 8-1 | 7-2 |
| South Florida | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Tulane | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Florida Atlantic | 4 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| North Texas | 11 | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| UAB | 7 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Tulsa | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: UT Rio Grande Valley, Navy.
Week 05,396 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | UT Rio Grande Valley | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Texas State | 47 mi | 93 mi |
| Week 3 | Texas | 75 mi | 243 mi |
| Week 4 | Colorado State | Home | 243 mi |
| Week 5 | Rice | 186 mi | 615 mi |
| Week 6 | South Florida | Home | 615 mi |
| Week 7 | Navy | Home | 615 mi |
| Week 8 | Tulane | 504 mi | 1,623 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Florida Atlantic | 1,142 mi | 3,907 mi |
| Week 11 | North Texas | Home | 3,907 mi |
| Week 12 | UAB | 744 mi | 5,396 mi |
| Week 13 | Tulsa | Home | 5,396 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Jeff Traylor enters his seventh season at UTSA with a 53-26 record and a streak of winning seasons every year he has been in charge. Quarterback Owen McCown is back for his third year as the starter, though he spent spring practice limited while recovering from sports hernia surgery. If he stays healthy, he has the tools to be one of the best quarterbacks in the Group of 6. The program's stability, rare in the transfer portal era, gives the Roadrunners a solid foundation to compete in the American Conference.
New offensive coordinator Rick Bowie wants to speed up the tempo and take more shots downfield. Running back Will Henderson III returns after rushing for 866 yards and six touchdowns last season, and he is joined by Cal transfer Brandon High Jr. The receiving corps features returning standouts David Amador II and AJ Wilson, plus Texas Tech transfer TJ West and Missouri transfer James Madison II. The main question marks are at tight end and left guard, but the skill positions look deep and explosive.
UTSA lost most of its defensive starters to graduation and the portal, so the spring was about finding replacements. Inside linebacker Brandon Tucker, a former FCS All-America pick and Southland Conference Defensive Player of the Year at East Texas A&M, is expected to lead the unit after playing a rotational role last year. Owen Pewee moves from nickel to inside linebacker for his final season. The defensive line should remain a strength with ends Tai Leonard and Johnny Bowens III and nose tackle Jameian Buxton. Outside linebacker Camron Cooper is still working back from a knee injury suffered in last year's opener, and UTEP transfer Elijah Baldwin adds depth. Safety Nate Robinson Jr., a San Antonio native from Marist, could start right away, while the cornerback spot may feature brothers Ahamad and Asaad Chapman.
Kicker Michael Petro made 17 of 20 field goals in 2025, and punter Caile Hogan averaged 45.7 yards per punt. Both are back, giving UTSA reliable legs in close games. David Amador II handled punt returns and Mekhi Anderson took kickoffs last year, but those roles are open for competition. The stability in the kicking game is a quiet advantage for a team breaking in new starters elsewhere.
The Roadrunners open at home against UT Rio Grande Valley as heavy favorites, but the real tests come in American Conference play. The offense's ability to protect McCown and establish the run will determine how far they go. On defense, the new starters, especially at linebacker and cornerback, need to gel quickly. Traylor has a history of getting players to buy in, and if the transfers hit, UTSA should remain in the conference title conversation. Keep an eye on McCown's health and the pass rush from Cooper and Baldwin as the season progresses.
UTSA Roadrunners is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
UTSA Roadrunners holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +0.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
UTSA Roadrunners's home field advantage rating is 3.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
UTSA Roadrunners's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
UTSA Roadrunners travels 5,396 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 97th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
UTSA Roadrunners: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +0.6 (2026 records).
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