UTSA Roadrunners

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UTSA Roadrunners is 6-1 on the season, 4-2-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +1.0. UTSA Roadrunners is 6-1 on the season, with no single factor standing out strongly in the current data. The UTSA Roadrunners head to Tulane next in Week 8.

Conference: American Athletic Conference
Stadium: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Power Rating (most current): +1.0
HFA Rating:3.8 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 6-1
2026 ATS: 4-2-1
2026 O/U: 4-3

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the UTSA Roadrunners Power Rating of +1.0 is 1.0 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. UTSA Roadrunners have logged 615 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,396 miles, ranking 97th heaviest in the FBS.

UTSA Roadrunners Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJeff Traylor
Tenure6 seasons
Record53-26
Offensive coordinatorRick Bowie
Defensive coordinatorJess Loepp

Offense

Owen McCown QB, Will Henderson III RB, David Amador II WR, AJ Wilson WR, Brandon High Jr. RB, TJ West WR, James Madison II WR, Mekhi Anderson WR

Defense

Brandon Tucker LB, Owen Pewee LB, Tai Leonard EDGE, Johnny Bowens III EDGE, Jameian Buxton DL, Camron Cooper LB, Elijah Baldwin LB, Nate Robinson Jr. S, Ahamad Chapman CB, Asaad Chapman CB

Special teams

Michael Petro K, Caile Hogan P

2025 Season in Review

Record7-6 ATS7-6 O/U10-3
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-01-0
Week 20-21-12-0
Week 31-22-13-0
Week 42-22-23-1
Week 62-32-33-2
Week 73-33-34-2
Week 83-43-45-2
Week 104-44-46-2
Week 114-54-57-2
Week 125-55-57-3
Week 136-56-58-3
Week 146-66-69-3
Postseason7-67-610-3

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +1.4 in the preseason and finished +1.0 after week 8, a move of -0.4 points. High +2.0 (week 5), low +0.6 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +1.4 to +1.0.

PreW8

UTSA Roadrunners SP+ Profile

Offence+29.548 of 138higher is better
Defence+31.2102 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.165 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.6 pts
HFA measured+6.9 pts
HFA applied+3.8 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +6.9 is regressed to +3.8 before it is applied, a difference of 3.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Texas State64-22-4
Texas20-20-2
Colorado State21-11-1
Rice98-17-2
South Florida21-11-1
Tulane21-11-1
Florida Atlantic42-23-1
North Texas116-56-5
UAB73-43-4
Tulsa10-10-1

No meeting on record since 2016: UT Rio Grande Valley, Navy.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home45-1731-30-1 ATS · 62 games
On the road25-3432-27 ATS · 59 games
Neutral site2-44-2 ATS · 6 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,396 miles - ranked 97th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,396 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,396 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1UT Rio Grande ValleyHome0 mi
Week 2Texas State47 mi93 mi
Week 3Texas75 mi243 mi
Week 4Colorado StateHome243 mi
Week 5Rice186 mi615 mi
Week 6South FloridaHome615 mi
Week 7NavyHome615 mi
Week 8Tulane504 mi1,623 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10Florida Atlantic1,142 mi3,907 mi
Week 11North TexasHome3,907 mi
Week 12UAB744 mi5,396 mi
Week 13TulsaHome5,396 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

UTSA Roadrunners Season Outlook

Fast start, perfect in conference play

UTSA has opened 6-1 and 3-0 in the American Conference, with wins over UT Rio Grande Valley, Texas State, Colorado State, Rice, South Florida, and Navy. The lone loss came at No. 1 Texas, a 30-6 defeat in which the Roadrunners covered a 29.5-point spread. The team has covered in four of seven games and pushed once, and its power rating has climbed from 0.6 after Week 1 to 1.51 after Week 7. The offense has been inconsistent at times, but the defense has generally held up, and the Roadrunners have found ways to win close games, including a last-second touchdown at Texas State and a late score to beat Navy.

Owen McCown leads a resilient offense

Quarterback Owen McCown, in his third year as starter, has shown poise and playmaking ability. He threw for 303 yards and three touchdowns against Colorado State, and then 359 yards and three scores against Navy, including the game-winning 41-yard touchdown to A'Marion Peterson with 2:24 left. McCown has also led game-winning drives, such as the 13-play, 78-yard march at Texas State that ended with Brandon High Jr.'s 25-yard touchdown run with 14 seconds remaining. The offense has a deep supporting cast: Will Henderson III (866 yards last season) and High Jr. form a strong backfield, while receivers David Amador II, AJ Wilson, Mekhi Anderson, and Brandon Young Jr. provide multiple targets. However, the offense has had lulls, scoring only 16 points at Rice and being held to six at Texas. Consistency will be key down the stretch.

Defense rebuilt but still vulnerable

The defense lost most of its production to graduation and the transfer portal, and the rebuild has had mixed results. The unit held UT Rio Grande Valley to 16 points and limited Texas to 30, but it has been gashed on the ground by Texas State (149 rushing yards), Colorado State (multiple rushing scores), Rice (96 yards and two touchdowns from Jacurri Brown), and Navy (139 rushing yards and two scores from Jackson Gutierrez). The front seven, led by ends Tai Leonard and Johnny Bowens III and nose Jameian Buxton, has struggled against mobile quarterbacks and disciplined running games. Linebackers Brandon Tucker and Owen Pewee have been picked on in space, and the secondary, with the Chapman brothers at corner and Nate Robinson Jr. at safety, has had coverage lapses. The return of Camron Cooper from a knee injury could boost the pass rush, but the defense remains a work in progress.

Special teams provide an edge

Kicker Michael Petro has been reliable, connecting on 17-of-20 field goals last season and already hitting from 53 yards this year. Punter Caile Hogan averaged 45.7 yards per punt in 2025 and continues to flip field position. The return game has also produced sparks: Mekhi Anderson returned a kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown against Colorado State. In close games, these specialists can be the difference, as seen in the 16-14 win at Rice where Petro kicked three field goals. The coverage units have been solid, though they allowed a 94-yard kickoff return for a touchdown to Colorado State's Mel Brown. Overall, special teams are a strength that can swing field position and points.

Schedule and health will shape the finish

UTSA has navigated a challenging schedule with trips to Texas State, Texas, and Rice, plus a short week before South Florida. The remaining slate includes a road game at Tulane and other conference matchups. The team has a bye week after Week 7, which should help recovery. Health is a key factor: McCown is coming off sports hernia surgery and was limited in spring, and other players like Camron Cooper are working back from injuries. Depth at running back and receiver is a plus, but the offensive line has a new left guard and tight ends are inexperienced. If the defense can tighten up against the run and the offense finds consistency, UTSA should remain in the hunt for the American Conference title. However, the margin for error is thin, and the team must avoid letdowns against lesser opponents.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is UTSA Roadrunners's against-the-spread record in 2026?

UTSA Roadrunners is 4-2-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 67% of games.

What is UTSA Roadrunners's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

UTSA Roadrunners holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +1.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is UTSA Roadrunners's home field advantage rating?

UTSA Roadrunners's home field advantage rating is 3.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is UTSA Roadrunners's 2026 win total?

UTSA Roadrunners's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does UTSA Roadrunners travel in 2026?

UTSA Roadrunners travels 5,396 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 97th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

UTSA Roadrunners: 6-1 overall, 4-2-1 ATS, power rating +1.0 (2026 records).