Week 2
Bridgeforth Stadium

Wagner @ James Madison , Week 2, Sep 12, 2026

0-0 NEC Power rating: -34.4
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: 4.6

Is there value in the Wagner vs James Madison line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
JMU -16.4
Blue Chip model
JMU -41.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors WAGfavors JMU ▸
39.0 › JMU
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1 WAG1 JMU2 WAG2 JMU3 WAG3 JMUModel: JMU -41.7

Betting information

Prediction markets
JMU 93% win chance (Kalshi)

James Madison (power rating: 4.6) holds a 39.0-point advantage over Wagner (-34.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. James Madison's home field adds 2.7 points to that advantage at Bridgeforth Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Wagner vs James Madison at Bridgeforth Stadium?

The latest reading for Bridgeforth Stadium shows Overcast, 75°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Wagner vs James Madison?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price James Madison as 93% favorites to beat Wagner (8%). That implies a market-derived spread of James Madison -16.4. The Blue Chip model makes it James Madison -41.7, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do Wagner and James Madison compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor James Madison (4.6) over Wagner (-34.4) by 39.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. James Madison brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this James Madison -41.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

75°F

Rain23%
Precip0.00"
Humidity80%
Wind5 mph WNW
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Wagner at James Madison: aerial view of Bridgeforth Stadium, wind from the WNW at 4.7 mph, gusting to 4.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Bridgeforth Stadium
Capacity
24,877
Elevation
1,319 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure WagnerAway James MadisonHome
This week296 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total296 miles0 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

Wagner travels 296 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.