TCU (power rating: 9.4) holds a 29.6-point advantage over Grambling (-20.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. TCU's home field adds 3.3 points to that advantage at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges TCU's bye week and the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Amon G. Carter Stadium shows Clear, 95°F with winds of 7 mph. Heat of 95°F is a conditioning factor, particularly in the second half, and the market has historically charged nothing for it. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price TCU as 94% favorites to beat Grambling (7%). That implies a market-derived spread of TCU -16.9. The Blue Chip model makes it TCU -34.1, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
95°F
| Measure | GramblingAway | TCUHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 271 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 271 miles | 8,995 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 15 days |
Grambling travels 271 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
