Notre Dame (power rating: 26.7) holds a 42.0-point advantage over Rice (-15.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Notre Dame's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Notre Dame Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Rice's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Notre Dame Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 66°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Notre Dame as 98% favorites to beat Rice (3%). That implies a market-derived spread of Notre Dame -22.6. The Blue Chip model makes it Notre Dame -44.5, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Patchy rain nearby
66°F
| Measure | RiceAway | Notre DameHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 973 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 429 miles |
| Season total | 973 miles | 429 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 6 days |
Rice travels 973 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Rice arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
