UTSA (power rating: 0.7) holds a 6.8-point advantage over Navy (-6.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTSA's home field adds 3.8 points to that advantage at Alamodome. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from UTSA's extra rest and Navy's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
Alamodome is an indoor, climate-controlled venue. Weather will not be a factor in this game.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price UTSA as 50% favorites to beat Navy (46%). That implies a market-derived spread of UTSA -0.6. The Blue Chip model makes it UTSA -11.2, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Indoor, climate controlled
~72°F
Alamodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.
| Measure | NavyAway | UTSAHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,415 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 7,615 miles | 615 miles |
| Body clock | 20:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 10 days |
Navy travels 1,415 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Navy arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.