Week 7 •
AlamodomeIndoor

Navy @ UTSA , Week 7, Oct 18, 2026

1-3 American Power rating: -6.1
4-1 American Power rating: 0.7

Is there value in the Navy vs UTSA line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
UTSA -0.6
Blue Chip model
UTSA -11.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NAVYfavors UTSA ▸
6.8 › UTSA
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UTSA
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2 NAVY2 UTSA4 NAVY4 UTSAModel: UTSA -11.2

Betting information

Prediction markets
UTSA 50% win chance (Kalshi)

UTSA (power rating: 0.7) holds a 6.8-point advantage over Navy (-6.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTSA's home field adds 3.8 points to that advantage at Alamodome. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from UTSA's extra rest and Navy's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Navy vs UTSA at Alamodome?

Alamodome is an indoor, climate-controlled venue. Weather will not be a factor in this game.

What do prediction markets say about Navy vs UTSA?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price UTSA as 50% favorites to beat Navy (46%). That implies a market-derived spread of UTSA -0.6. The Blue Chip model makes it UTSA -11.2, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do Navy and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTSA (0.7) over Navy (-6.1) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTSA brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this UTSA -11.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Alamodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Alamodome
Capacity
64,000
Elevation
738 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure NavyAway UTSAHome
This week1,415 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total7,615 miles615 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest8 days10 days

Navy travels 1,415 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Navy arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.