Marshall (power rating: -6.0) holds a 14.2-point advantage over Middle Tennessee (-20.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Marshall's home field adds 1.9 points to that advantage at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Joan C. Edwards Stadium shows Light rain shower, 72°F with winds of 5 mph. There is a 67% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Marshall as 52% favorites to beat Middle Tennessee (46%). That implies a market-derived spread of Marshall -0.8. The Blue Chip model makes it Marshall -16.1, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Light rain shower
72°F
| Measure | Middle TennesseeAway | MarshallHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 281 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 588 miles |
| Season total | 281 miles | 588 miles |
| Body clock | 18:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Middle Tennessee travels 281 miles to this game, a short road trip. Middle Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
