UTSA (power rating: 2.0) carries a 13.6-point advantage over UAB (-11.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UAB's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8) narrows that gap at Protective Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Protective Stadium shows Moderate rain, 63°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 34 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. A 86% chance of rain with around 0.10 inches expected points to a genuinely wet field. Ball security and the kicking game are the exposures. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Moderate rain
63°F

| Measure | UTSAAway | UABHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 744 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,561 miles |
| Season total | 4,652 miles | 4,591 miles |
| Body clock | 23:00 | 23:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
UTSA travels 744 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.