Week 2
Sun Bowl

Texas Southern @ UTEP , Week 2, Sep 13, 2026

0-0 SWAC Power rating: -29.6
0-0 MW Power rating: -20.8

Is there value in the Texas Southern vs UTEP line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTEP -12.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TXSOfavors UTEP ▸
8.8 › UTEP
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1 TXSO1 UTEP2 TXSO2 UTEPModel: UTEP -12.5

Betting information

Prediction markets
UTEP 78% win chance (Kalshi)

UTEP (power rating: -20.8) holds a 8.8-point advantage over Texas Southern (-29.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTEP's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Sun Bowl. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Texas Southern's trip and the altitude. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas Southern vs UTEP at Sun Bowl?

The latest reading for Sun Bowl shows Partly Cloudy, 91°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Texas Southern and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTEP (-20.8) over Texas Southern (-29.6) by 8.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this UTEP -12.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

91°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity23%
Wind13 mph E
Gusts20 mph
Heat index88°F
Wind map for Texas Southern at UTEP: aerial view of Sun Bowl, wind from the E at 13 mph, gusting to 20.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM MDT
Venue
Sun Bowl
Capacity
51,500
Elevation
3,904 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Texas SouthernAway UTEPHome
This week678 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,148 miles
Season total678 miles1,148 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest7 days8 days

Texas Southern travels 678 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Texas Southern arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.