Colorado State Rams

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Colorado State Rams is 3-4 on the season, 3-3-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -13.9. Colorado State Rams is covering at just 39% since the start of last season (7-11-1), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Colorado State Rams head to Utah State next in Week 9.

Conference: Pac-12 Conference
Stadium: Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, CO
Power Rating (most current): -13.9
HFA Rating:2.0 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 3-4
2026 ATS: 3-3-1
2026 O/U: 7-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Colorado State Rams Power Rating of -13.9 is 13.9 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado State Rams have logged 3,389 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,252 miles, ranking 66th heaviest in the FBS.

Colorado State Rams Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJim L. Mora
TenureFirst season
Career record73-53 (10 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorPryce Tracy
Defensive coordinatorsTyson Summers, Kenny McClendon

Offense

Hauss Hejny QB, K'saan Farrar QB, Tommy Maher WR, Lavon Brown WR, Mel Brown RB

Defense

Oumar Diomande LB, Elijah Mc-Cantos S

Special teams

Kali Nguma K

2025 Season in Review

Record2-10 ATS4-8 O/U5-7
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-01-0
Week 21-11-11-1
Week 41-22-11-2
Week 51-32-21-3
Week 61-42-32-3
Week 72-43-33-3
Week 82-53-43-4
Week 92-63-53-5
Week 112-73-63-6
Week 122-84-63-7
Week 132-94-74-7
Week 142-104-85-7

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -13.8 in the preseason and finished -13.9 after week 8, a move of -0.1 points. High -8.8 (week 3), low -13.9 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -13.8 to -13.9.

PreW8

Colorado State Rams SP+ Profile

Offence+18.8113 of 138higher is better
Defence+27.078 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.182 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.2 pts
HFA measured+1.0 pts
HFA applied+2.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +1.0 is regressed to +2.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.0 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Wyoming102-83-7
UTSA21-11-1
Oregon State21-11-1
San Diego State52-31-4
Utah State83-55-2-1
Boise State91-83-6
Washington State30-30-3
Fresno State53-23-2

No meeting on record since 2016: Southern Utah, BYU, Texas State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home29-2823-33-1 ATS · 57 games
On the road14-3727-24 ATS · 51 games
Neutral site0-70-7 ATS · 7 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

7,252 miles - ranked 66th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 7,252 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 07,252 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1WyomingHome0 mi
Week 2Southern UtahHome0 mi
Week 3BYUHome0 mi
Week 4UTSA855 mi1,710 mi
Week 5Oregon StateHome1,710 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7Texas State840 mi3,389 mi
Week 8San Diego StateHome3,389 mi
Week 9Utah State360 mi4,109 mi
Week 10Boise StateHome4,109 mi
Week 11Washington State738 mi5,586 mi
Week 12Fresno State833 mi7,252 mi
Week 13-Bye
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Colorado State Rams Season Outlook

A new era under Jim L. Mora

Colorado State hired Jim L. Mora, the former UConn head coach, to turn around a program that has underachieved for years. Mora brought more than 60 new players, including 41 transfers, and several who followed him from UConn. The Rams also moved to the Pac-12, adding another layer of change. Mora has talked about winning championships from day one, and the early returns are mixed: a 2-4 start, but also a season-opening win over Wyoming and a 2-0 start for the first time since 2011.

Hauss Hejny and the quarterback carousel

The preseason battle between transfers Hauss Hejny (Oklahoma State) and K'saan Farrar (UConn) was the biggest question. Hejny won the job and exploded early, throwing five touchdowns against Wyoming and accounting for five more against Southern Utah. But against BYU, the first ranked defense, the offense managed only 23 points. Farrar started at UTSA and threw for 344 yards and two touchdowns with an interception, then started again against Oregon State and Texas State. The Rams have two talented but inexperienced options, and the offense has been inconsistent against quality defenses.

Defensive collapse and staff shakeup

Tyson Summers' aggressive defense forced five turnovers in the first two games against Wyoming and Southern Utah, but once the competition improved, the takeaways dried up. BYU scored 41, UTSA 59, Oregon State 56, and Texas State 66. After the Oregon State game, Mora relieved Summers of play-calling duties, and Summers left the program. The defense has been shredded by every competent offense, and the cornerback position remains a question mark due to spring injuries. The Rams must find a way to get stops, or the season could spiral.

Offensive explosiveness and turnover-free play

Despite the defensive struggles, the offense has shown it can score in bunches. The Rams put up 58 points and 678 yards against Southern Utah, and scored 45 at UTSA. Hejny threw nine touchdown passes with no interceptions in the first two games, and Farrar has moved the ball effectively at times. The outside-zone run game, led by Mel Brown (171 yards and two touchdowns vs Southern Utah) and Durell Robinson, has been productive. The offensive line, however, has struggled against quality fronts, and protection remains a concern.

What to watch: can the Rams get stops and protect the quarterback?

The rest of the season hinges on two things: whether the defense can generate turnovers and get off the field, and whether the offensive line can hold up against better opponents. The Rams have gone over the total in all six games, a sign that their games are shootouts. With a new play-caller on defense and a quarterback room still finding its way, Colorado State needs to show improvement in both areas to climb in the Pac-12. The upcoming home game against San Diego State, a team with a similar 3-4 record, is a chance to steady the ship.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Colorado State Rams's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Colorado State Rams is 3-3-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Colorado State Rams's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Colorado State Rams holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -13.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Colorado State Rams's home field advantage rating?

Colorado State Rams's home field advantage rating is 2.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Colorado State Rams's 2026 win total?

Colorado State Rams's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Colorado State Rams travel in 2026?

Colorado State Rams travels 7,252 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 66th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Colorado State Rams: 3-4 overall, 3-3-1 ATS, power rating -13.9 (2026 records).