Texas State Bobcats is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -1.2. Texas State Bobcats enters the season with a power rating of -1.2, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Texas State Bobcats head to Texas next in Week 1. In 2025, Texas State Bobcats went 6-6 overall, 4-8 against the spread, and 7-5 on totals.
In Week 0 of 2026 the Texas State Bobcats Power Rating of -1.2 is 1.4 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State Bobcats have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,549 miles, ranking 48th heaviest in the FBS.
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | — | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Texas | 29 mi | 59 mi |
| Week 2 | UTSA | Home | 59 mi |
| Week 3 | North Texas | Home | 59 mi |
| Week 4 | Incarnate Word | Home | 59 mi |
| Week 5 | San Diego State | 1,151 mi | 2,360 mi |
| Week 6 | — | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Colorado State | Home | 2,360 mi |
| Week 8 | Utah State | Home | 2,360 mi |
| Week 9 | Boise State | 1,380 mi | 5,121 mi |
| Week 10 | Oregon State | 1,714 mi | 8,549 mi |
| Week 11 | Fresno State | Home | 8,549 mi |
| Week 12 | Washington State | Home | 8,549 mi |
| Week 13 | — | Bye | |
| Week 14 | — | Bye | |
| Week 15 | — | Bye | |
| Week 16 | — | Bye | |
Texas State brings back nearly every key skill player from a unit that led the Sun Belt in total yards and averaged over 36 points per game the past three seasons. Quarterback Brad Jackson returns after throwing for 3,224 yards and 21 touchdowns and rushing for 744 yards and 17 scores. The Bobcats are the only FBS program with two returning 1,000-yard receivers: Beau Sparks (1,200 yards) and Chris Dawn Jr. (1,007 yards). This continuity gives Texas State one of the most explosive and experienced offenses in the new Pac-12.
Despite a high-powered offense, Texas State has been held back by a defense that struggled to hold leads and committed late-game mistakes. The Bobcats hired South Alabama defensive coordinator Will Windham to replace Dexter McCoil, promising multiple looks and more discipline. Three of the top six tacklers return: safety Ryan Nolan (79 tackles) and linebackers Ayden Jones (56) and Terrence Cooks II (36). Whether Windham can fix the unit will determine if Texas State can contend for a conference title.
Texas State has lost its past two kickers to power programs, and Toledo transfer Dylan Cunanan takes over after making 72% of his field goals the past two seasons. Australian freshman Thomas Flintoff handles punting. The bright spot is senior returner Jaylen Jenkins, who led the Sun Belt in kickoff return average (27.0 yards) and returned a 100-yard touchdown in 2025. Consistency in the kicking game will be critical in close conference games.
Under head coach GJ Kinne, Texas State has posted records of 8-5, 8-5, and 7-6, showing they can win but not yet contend for a championship. The offense has been elite, but the defense has prevented them from taking the next step. With the move to the Pac-12, the Bobcats have a chance to reset and prove they can play complementary football, especially in late-game situations where they have faltered before.
Texas State opens the season on the road against a Texas team with a power rating of 24.4 and a 30.5-point spread. This game will immediately test the revamped defense against a top-tier opponent and show whether the Bobcats can compete with elite talent. A strong showing, even in a loss, would signal that Texas State is ready to challenge for the Pac-12 title. A blowout would raise familiar questions about defensive discipline and depth.
Texas State Bobcats is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.
Texas State Bobcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -1.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Texas State Bobcats's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Texas State Bobcats travels 8,549 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 48th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Texas State Bobcats: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating -1.2.
