Troy (power rating: -7.1) holds a 22.5-point advantage over Alabama State (-29.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Troy's home field adds 1.8 points to that advantage at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) shows Mist, 77°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Troy as 76% favorites to beat Alabama State (23%). That implies a market-derived spread of Troy -7.8. The Blue Chip model makes it Troy -24.3, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Mist
77°F
| Measure | Alabama StateAway | TroyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 44 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Home game |
| Season total | 44 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 15:00 | 15:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Alabama State travels 44 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
