Virginia (power rating: 6.7) holds a 38.7-point advantage over Norfolk State (-32.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Virginia's home field adds 1.7 points to that advantage at Scott Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges Virginia's bye week, with a slighter reading for the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Scott Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 79°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Virginia as 98% favorites to beat Norfolk State (2%). That implies a market-derived spread of Virginia -27.2. The Blue Chip model makes it Virginia -41.4, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Patchy rain nearby
79°F
| Measure | Norfolk StateAway | VirginiaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 148 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 8 miles | Bye week |
| Season total | 156 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 13 days |
Norfolk State travels 148 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
