DraftKings · as of August 30, 2026
Utah (power rating: 16.7) holds a 11.5-point advantage over Arkansas (5.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Utah's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Rice-Eccles Stadium. The market line is Utah -9.5 and our model shows Utah -15.2; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Arkansas's trip and the altitude. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Rice-Eccles Stadium shows Overcast, 74°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Utah as 80% favorites to beat Arkansas (22%). That implies a market-derived spread of Utah -8.5, a modest gap from the bookmaker line of Utah -9.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Utah -15.2, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Overcast
74°F
| Measure | ArkansasAway | UtahHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,010 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 1,010 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 21:15 | 20:15 |
| Rest | 8 days | 9 days |
Arkansas travels 1,010 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Arkansas arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
