NC State (power rating: 6.5) holds a 24.5-point advantage over Richmond (-18.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. NC State's home field adds 3.4 points to that advantage at Carter-Finley Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges NC State's bye week, with a slighter reading for the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Carter-Finley Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 81°F, heat index 86°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price NC State as 96% favorites to beat Richmond (4%). That implies a market-derived spread of NC State -19.9. The Blue Chip model makes it NC State -28.9, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Patchy rain nearby
81°F
| Measure | RichmondAway | NC StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 139 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 139 miles | 308 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 13 days |
Richmond travels 139 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
