Week 4 • September 26, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC
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Pac-12
Power Rank: -12.2
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American
Power Rank: -0.4

By · Last updated

UTSA (power rating: -0.4) holds a 11.8-point edge over Colorado State (-12.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTSA's home field adds 2.9 points to that edge at Alamodome. Colorado State travels 855 miles for this game — check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Alamodome
Capacity: 64,000
Elevation: 738 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA -11.8

Line Value Calculator

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Colorado State
UTSA
Home field — Alamodome
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Colorado State vs UTSA at Alamodome?

Alamodome is an indoor, climate-controlled venue. Weather will not be a factor in this game.

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Alamodome
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Colorado State (Away)

This Week: 854.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 854.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 22:00
Rest Days: 7

UTSA (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 149.3 miles
Season Total: 242.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Colorado State vs UTSA?

Colorado State: Key Factors

Quarterback Battle Unresolved

The Rams enter Week 1 with a true quarterback competition between Hauss Hejny and K'saan Farrar. Both are inexperienced but talented dual-threats. The decision will shape the entire offensive identity, especially against a Wyoming defense that will need to prepare for two very different skill sets.

New System and Roster Overhaul

With over 60 new players and a first-time offensive coordinator in Pryce Tracy, Colorado State is essentially a brand-new team. The offense is built on outside-zone runs and tight end usage, but chemistry and execution are unknowns. Wyoming's defense will face a scheme they have no film on from this staff.

Defensive Aggression vs. Wyoming's Offense

Defensive coordinator Tyson Summers runs an aggressive, attacking scheme that aims to force turnovers. After a season where injuries decimated the defensive line, the unit is now bigger and healthier. This style could disrupt Wyoming's offensive rhythm, especially early in the season.

Home Field Advantage in Cool Conditions

The game is at home with a 2.0 HFA and clear, 48°F weather. Colorado State benefits from altitude and a familiar setting, while Wyoming travels. The cool temperature may favor the running game, which aligns with CSU's outside-zone philosophy.

Special Teams Improvement Key

New kicker Kali Nguma and returner Mel Brown aim to fix last year's special teams struggles. In a low-scoring, early-season game, field position and kicking could be decisive. Wyoming must account for Brown's kickoff return ability.

UTSA: Key Factors

Offensive tempo and downfield passing

New OC Rick Bowie plans to push tempo and take more deep shots. QB Owen McCown, entering his third year as starter, is key to executing this attack. The receiving corps is deep with returning standouts David Amador II and AJ Wilson plus impact transfers TJ West and James Madison II. If McCown is fully recovered from sports hernia surgery, UTSA's passing game could be explosive against a first-year FBS opponent.

Defensive reload with experienced transfers

UTSA lost most of its defense but added key transfers: LB Brandon Tucker (FCS All-America), S Nate Robinson Jr. (Marist), and CB Asaad Chapman (JUCO). The defensive line returns anchors Tai Leonard, Johnny Bowens III, and Jameian Buxton. The unit's ability to gel quickly will be tested, but the talent infusion and home dome environment should help against UTRGV's offense.

Home dome advantage and rest

The game is at home in a dome (HFA 2.9), eliminating weather concerns and giving UTSA a comfortable environment. No travel and a full offseason of rest provide optimal preparation. This should allow the Roadrunners to execute their new schemes cleanly and maintain energy throughout the game.

UTRGV's inexperience as a first-year FBS program

UT Rio Grande Valley is playing its first FBS season, likely lacking depth and experience at this level. UTSA's veteran roster, led by a third-year QB and a seventh-year head coach, should have a significant edge in discipline and execution. The Roadrunners can exploit mismatches early to build a comfortable lead.

Running back depth and versatility

Will Henderson III (866 yards, 6 TDs in 2025) returns as the lead back, with Cal transfer Brandon High Jr. adding depth. This duo can control the clock and wear down a less experienced defense. Their ability to run effectively will open up play-action for McCown and keep UTRGV's offense off the field.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Colorado State travels 855 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Colorado State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

How do Colorado State and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTSA (-0.4) over Colorado State (-12.2) by 11.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTSA brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates UTSA as the stronger team by 11.8 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.