Tulane Green Wave is 3-3 on the season, 3-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -3.1. Tulane Green Wave's games are hitting the under at 67% this season (4-2), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Tulane Green Wave host UTSA next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Tulane Green Wave Power Rating of -3.1 is 3.1 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Tulane Green Wave have logged 5,414 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,330 miles, ranking 51st heaviest in the FBS.
Jamauri McClure RB, Maurice Turner RB, Jaylin Lucas RB, Zeon Chriss-Gremillion QB, Kadin Semonza QB, Anthony Brown-Stephens WR, Zycarl Lewis Jr. WR, Destyn Hill WR, Reese Baker OL
Jack Tchienchou S, Dickson Agu LB, Chris Rodgers LB, Kevin Adams III S
Jackson Courville K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-2-1 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 3-3-1 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 6-2 | 3-4-1 | 3-5 |
| Week 11 | 7-2 | 4-4-1 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 4-5-1 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 5-5-1 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 5-6-1 | 4-8 |
| Week 15 | 11-2 | 6-6-1 | 4-9 |
| Postseason | 11-3 | 6-7-1 | 4-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +2.1 in the preseason and finished -3.1 after week 8, a move of -5.2 points. High +2.1 (the preseason), low -5.3 (week 7).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.4 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| South Alabama | 3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Kansas State | 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Southern Miss | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Army | 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Memphis | 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| UTSA | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Charlotte | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Tulsa | 9 | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Rice | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| North Texas | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| South Florida | 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
Week 08,330 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Duke | 771 mi | 1,541 mi |
| Week 2 | South Alabama | Home | 1,541 mi |
| Week 3 | Kansas State | 737 mi | 3,015 mi |
| Week 4 | Southern Miss | Home | 3,015 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Army | 1,200 mi | 5,414 mi |
| Week 7 | Memphis | Home | 5,414 mi |
| Week 8 | UTSA | Home | 5,414 mi |
| Week 9 | Charlotte | 659 mi | 6,732 mi |
| Week 10 | Tulsa | Home | 6,732 mi |
| Week 11 | Rice | 318 mi | 7,369 mi |
| Week 12 | North Texas | Home | 7,369 mi |
| Week 13 | South Florida | 480 mi | 8,330 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Will Hall took over after Jon Sumrall left for Florida and has leaned on a deep running back room to carry the offense. Jaylin Lucas (214 yards vs South Alabama) and Maurice Turner (200 yards vs Southern Miss) have each delivered 200-yard games, while Jamauri McClure remains a threat. The quarterback spot has been unsettled: Zeon Chriss-Gremillion started the opener but was benched at halftime, Kadin Semonza took over for several weeks, and freshman Trace Johnson made his first start against Memphis. Through six games, Tulane is 3-3 and averaging just 20.5 points per game, with the passing attack yet to consistently complement the run.
Tulane has been gashed on the ground by every opponent. Duke's Nate Sheppard ran for 227 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1, Kansas State's Avery Johnson added 152 rushing yards and two scores, and Army's Cale Hellums piled up 223 yards and two touchdowns. The front seven lost five defensive linemen to Power 4 programs in the offseason, and despite returning six of the top ten tacklers, the group has not been able to stop the run. Opponents have controlled the clock and the game flow, putting immense pressure on the offense to keep pace.
After forcing just one turnover in the first five games, Tulane's defense erupted for six takeaways in a 31-17 win over Memphis. TJ Smith returned an interception 76 yards for a touchdown on the final play of the first half, and Kevin Adams III sealed the victory with a late pick. The performance showed the big-play potential of a unit that had struggled to get off the field. If the Green Wave can sustain that ball-hawking mentality, it could mask some of the run-defense issues and provide short fields for the offense.
Tulane is 3-0 at home (South Alabama, Southern Miss, Memphis) and 0-3 on the road (Duke, Kansas State, Army). The Green Wave have averaged 27.7 points in home wins while allowing 20.7, compared to 13.3 points scored and 22.7 allowed in road losses. The comfort of Yulman Stadium has been evident, and with four of the final six games at home, that trend could fuel a second-half surge. The remaining home slate includes UTSA, which visits New Orleans next.
In the season-opening loss to Duke, Tulane committed 15 penalties for 104 yards and converted just 3 of 14 third downs. Those issues have lingered, contributing to an offense that has struggled to sustain drives. The return of Reese Baker at guard has helped stabilize the line, but the unit still lacks consistency. Cleaning up the pre-snap and holding penalties will be crucial for an offense that relies on rhythm and play-action. The coaching staff has emphasized discipline, and improvement in these areas could be the difference in close conference games.
Tulane Green Wave is 3-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Tulane Green Wave holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -3.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Tulane Green Wave's home field advantage rating is 2.7 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Tulane Green Wave's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at +115 over and -145 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Tulane Green Wave travels 8,330 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 51st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Tulane Green Wave: 3-3 overall, 3-3 ATS, power rating -3.1 (2026 records).
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