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Tulsa Golden Hurricane is 4-4 on the season, 3-5 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -5.2. Tulsa Golden Hurricane is 4-4 on the season, with no single factor standing out strongly in the current data. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane head to Tulane next in Week 10.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Tulsa Golden Hurricane Power Rating of -5.2 is 5.2 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Tulsa Golden Hurricane have logged 4,002 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,066 miles, ranking 87th heaviest in the FBS.
Baylor Hayes QB, Cam East OL, Trequan Jones RB
Elijah Green CB, Zach Williams S, Chris Thompson Jr. LB
Marlon Hauck K, Max Tulen P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Week 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-5 |
| Week 8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3-5 |
| Week 11 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 4-7 | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 5-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -11.8 in the preseason and finished -5.2 after week 8, a move of +6.7 points. High -5.2 (week 8), low -11.8 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -0.3 is regressed to +1.8 before it is applied, a difference of 2.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State | 6 | 1-5 | 3-3 |
| Arkansas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| North Texas | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Navy | 8 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Rice | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Army | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Tulane | 9 | 3-6 | 4-5 |
| Florida Atlantic | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2-1 |
| Charlotte | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| UTSA | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Sam Houston, East Texas A&M.
Week 06,066 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Oklahoma State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Sam Houston | 375 mi | 751 mi |
| Week 3 | East Texas A&M | Home | 751 mi |
| Week 4 | Arkansas | 99 mi | 948 mi |
| Week 5 | North Texas | Home | 948 mi |
| Week 6 | Navy | 1,083 mi | 3,114 mi |
| Week 7 | Rice | 444 mi | 4,002 mi |
| Week 8 | Army | Home | 4,002 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Tulane | 545 mi | 5,092 mi |
| Week 11 | Florida Atlantic | Home | 5,092 mi |
| Week 12 | Charlotte | Home | 5,092 mi |
| Week 13 | UTSA | 487 mi | 6,066 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Tulsa opened the Tre Lamb era with a 24-10 upset of Oklahoma State as a double-digit underdog, then handled Sam Houston 23-17 and shut out East Texas A&M 42-0. But the schedule stiffened: a 34-6 loss at Arkansas, a 45-44 overtime heartbreaker to North Texas, and a 34-26 defeat at Navy dropped them to 3-3 before a 38-17 win at Rice steadied things. At 4-3 overall and 1-2 in American play, the Golden Hurricane have shown they can beat lesser teams and compete with Power Four opponents, but they have yet to string together a complete game against quality competition.
Sophomore quarterback Baylor Hayes has been the catalyst, using his legs and arm to drive the offense. He threw for 268 yards and a touchdown at Navy and then exploded for three touchdown passes in the Rice win, completing 20 of 27 passes for 249 yards. His dual-threat ability was on full display in the overtime thriller against North Texas, where he accounted for five total touchdowns (three passing, two rushing). The run game, led by Old Dominion transfer Trequan Jones, has provided explosive plays: Jones ripped off an 81-yard touchdown run at Sam Houston and added a 45-yard scoring burst at Rice. Tristan Lawyer needed just one carry to score from 56 yards out against Sam Houston. The offensive line, anchored by right tackle Cam East, has opened holes, but pass protection remains a work in progress against elite edge rushers.
The Golden Hurricane defense was expected to take a step forward in 2026, and there have been flashes: a shutout of East Texas A&M, a goal-line stand against Oklahoma State, and an interception by Carter Langenderfer. But the big-play epidemic that plagued the 2025 unit has not been fully cured. Sam Houston hung 316 passing yards and scored on a 94-yard catch-and-run. Arkansas gashed them for 309 yards through the air. North Texas racked up 45 points and 219 rushing yards from Jahiem White. Navy's Jackson Gutierrez ran for 232 yards and accounted for four touchdowns. The loss of leading tackler Ray Coney to Texas A&M has left a void in the middle, though Chris Thompson Jr. has returned from a broken ankle and leads the team in tackles. The secondary, led by cornerback Elijah Green (who led the American with five interceptions in 2025) and safety Zach Williams, must tighten up for Tulsa to contend in the AAC.
Tulsa's kicking game has been a liability. Marlon Hauck, a Mississippi State transfer with almost no college kicking experience, missed a point-after at Sam Houston that kept the Bearkats within a score. Punter Max Tulen, a Bethune-Cookman transfer, is new to the role after replacing a three-year starter. In close games, these mistakes can be the difference: the North Texas loss came by one point in overtime, and the Navy loss was decided by eight. The staff needs to see clean operation from both specialists as the schedule tightens. On the positive side, Trequan Jones returned a kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown against East Texas A&M, showing big-play potential in the return game.
Slow starts have been a recurring problem. Tulsa trailed 7-0 to Sam Houston, fell behind early at Arkansas, and spotted Navy a 20-7 lead before rallying. Against North Texas, they needed a late touchdown to force overtime. The Hurricane have been sloppy early in competitive games, and against disciplined teams like Navy and Army, spotting points is a recipe for defeat. The remaining schedule includes a home date with Army (4-2), a trip to UTSA, and other AAC matchups. Tulsa has already shown it can win on the road (Sam Houston, Rice) and beat a Power Four team (Oklahoma State). If the defense can limit explosive plays and the offense can start faster, a bowl game is within reach. But the margin for error is thin, and the kicking game remains a wild card.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane is 3-5 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 38% of games.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -5.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane's home field advantage rating is 1.8 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane travels 6,066 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 87th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 4-4 overall, 3-5 ATS, power rating -5.2 (2026 records).